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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 12, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Suns7%10583
1Warriors93%125129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
33.2
35.4
14
37%
6
2
1
1
0
0
5
1
2-2
100%
6-18
8-15
33%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
31.9
33.1
8
22%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-15
6-12
27%
46%
0-3
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.0
31.4
29.6
29
69%
8
5
0
1
0
4
2
6
5-7
71%
9-14
5-10
64%
49%
2-4
50%
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 20.2
30.5
30.3
3
20%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-3
33%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 35.4
17.6
18.7
8
67%
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
20.7
22.4
7
44%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
38%
1-5
20%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 24.7
20.2
13.2
8
60%
7
2
0
0
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
17.5
19.6
1
17%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Gray
G · 6'1" 182 · 24.4
16.6
15.7
5
21%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
40%
0-3
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 32.6
10.2
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.7
10.2
8.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 25.0
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 22.1
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 26.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
Alec Peters
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
29.9
29.9
22
60%
9
7
0
2
1
3
2
7
3-3
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
58%
3-9
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.4
29.9
29.6
17
86%
7
6
0
1
2
4
0
7
0-2
0%
7-8
5-9
88%
60%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
26.8
6.4
19
78%
10
2
0
0
0
1
0
10
4-5
80%
6-8
1-2
75%
56%
1-2
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
22.7
33.1
16
67%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
54%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.0
16.6
14.8
4
50%
6
5
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.0
23.9
24.4
7
51%
5
5
0
1
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
61%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.7
23.7
8.6
16
71%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
3-7
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
15.5
15.7
6
75%
5
4
1
1
4
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.4
15.5
14.4
4
33%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.1
14.1
6.7
7
53%
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
1
3-6
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
64%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
13.8
11.5
2
100%
1
0
3
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.3
7.7
13.0
9
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
56%
1-2
50%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 25.1
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.1
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.6
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.9
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.