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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 15, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets47%107134
16Bucks53%108123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.1
39
37
19
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
5-5
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
50%
4-7
57%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
39
32
28
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
3-5
60%
5-11
4-8
45%
55%
5-7
71%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
38
31
11
4
2
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
3-5
60%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.0
36
32
26
5
5
3
1
0
2
3
2
3-5
60%
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
5-7
71%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
34
29
30
15
17
1
1
2
8
4
11
5-5
100%
8-11
5-9
73%
57%
3-3
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
19
19
6
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.3
17
20
12
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
12
7
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
1
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
26
1
4-7
55%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
5
0
0-1
47%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.7
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.0
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 23.2
39
35
36
11
13
0
1
3
6
3
8
7-12
58%
13-19
9-16
68%
57%
1-2
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.5
38
33
17
7
0
2
1
1
4
1
6
2-3
67%
6-14
5-10
43%
51%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.2
37
31
27
3
8
5
2
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
3-6
50%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 26.3
34
28
10
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
2-6
33%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 21.0
17
22
4
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.1
30
18
14
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-5
78%
53%
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
17
19
12
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
13
17
3
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 40.4
9
13
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 28.1
4
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 25.7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 27.1
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 32.4
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.