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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 23, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hornets41%106122
8Wizards59%109105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 27.8
33
34
24
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-3
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
46%
5-10
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 29.2
27
31
8
6
8
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 24.4
25
24
14
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.2
24
29
11
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
5
1-1
100%
5-9
6-10
56%
56%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 31.7
21
26
15
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-3
33%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
4-7
57%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24.9
25
21
23
3
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
6-9
67%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
24
17
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.7
23
23
13
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
1-5
20%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.4
18
16
9
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
0-0
-
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24.3
14
13
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 22.5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Paige
G · 6'0" 164 · 24.5
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.2
Mangok Mathiang
F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 24.7
40
35
33
6
6
2
1
0
4
0
6
8-9
89%
8-15
6-11
53%
52%
3-6
50%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.3
34
30
11
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
1-3
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 24.7
33
30
16
6
4
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
56%
2-5
40%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
27
27
13
6
8
0
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
27
19
6
8
3
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
31
31
11
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
1-4
25%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 29.6
15
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.3
11
12
6
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 31.3
10
20
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
8
16
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
1-3
33%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
4
0
1-1
51%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.9
3
0
0-1
44%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.