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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 23, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs
119
9Nuggets
122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
36
29
38
5
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
12-14
86%
13-22
7-14
59%
51%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
33
22
21
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.6
30
22
12
12
3
0
0
3
2
3
9
5-8
63%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
28
26
8
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.4
24
22
12
4
5
0
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.8
24
18
12
4
5
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.6
20
17
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.5
19
17
5
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.3
14
27
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
7
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
4
16
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.7
28
1
2-4
46%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
38
33
18
16
3
0
1
0
0
6
10
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
51%
4-7
57%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
36
35
23
3
3
2
2
0
4
0
3
2-3
67%
9-14
5-8
64%
55%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.0
35
33
9
9
7
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
34
31
28
11
11
0
1
0
3
4
7
5-7
71%
7-11
5-9
64%
56%
3-5
60%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.1
32
37
15
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
49%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
21
18
12
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
55%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.3
20
18
11
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
17
19
3
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-6
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
7
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
10
0
1-2
45%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
5
0
0-1
51%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
3
0
1-1
54%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.7
3
0
0-0
54%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.