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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 26, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons16%10194
3Raptors84%115123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.5
35
32
18
18
2
4
1
3
2
6
12
2-2
100%
8-18
6-11
44%
52%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.9
33
31
12
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
32
29
14
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
51%
2-5
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
26
29
16
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
7-12
4-10
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.7
24
28
2
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
42%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
24
19
10
6
1
2
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
51%
2-4
50%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
19
10
12
4
4
1
0
0
1
4
0
4-4
100%
1-7
1-3
14%
45%
2-4
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
18
19
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
16
11
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
6
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
4
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
4
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.0
9
0
1-1
43%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.9
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
29
34
20
1
7
2
1
1
3
0
1
10-11
91%
5-8
7-14
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.9
25
32
20
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
6-8
75%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
24
28
19
9
0
2
0
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
4-6
4-6
67%
56%
3-8
38%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
22
27
2
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
58%
0-2
0%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.6
18
13
8
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
58%
1-1
100%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
24
20
11
5
6
0
1
2
3
1
4
1-1
100%
5-6
3-4
83%
59%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.4
22
18
8
4
1
3
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-4
57%
63%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.8
21
18
8
3
4
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 24.0
19
23
8
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
15
19
9
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-6
33%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
9
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
9
4
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.6
4
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
64%
1-1
100%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.5
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.