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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons54%107106
24Magic46%106115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
40.7
27.8
21
46%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
3-10
3-5
30%
54%
4-11
36%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.6
38.5
29.8
10
39%
15
0
1
1
0
3
5
10
0-4
0%
5-11
6-11
45%
55%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.0
34.1
28.2
12
38%
10
9
0
1
1
2
1
9
2-4
50%
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
32.5
18.2
21
111%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
4-4
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
31.9
25.3
5
28%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
20.8
17.3
12
61%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.8
20.6
27.1
9
51%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
20.5
18.8
12
73%
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
4-5
80%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
2-5
40%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
13.1
12.3
2
50%
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
12.3
13.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
9.4
0
1-2
48%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.1
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.9
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.8
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 30.3
41.0
27.7
20
98%
5
9
0
1
0
3
2
3
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
4-5
80%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
38.4
28.1
22
53%
12
6
0
1
1
4
3
9
4-4
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
52%
0-5
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25.3
36.2
31.5
17
51%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
3-8
38%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
35.6
30.1
27
62%
13
2
2
1
1
1
1
12
4-6
67%
7-11
5-9
64%
53%
3-8
38%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 28.5
30.0
29.4
4
40%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 23.0
23.4
20.1
4
40%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.9
23.4
19.0
10
71%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.4
15.1
11.7
3
75%
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 25.5
14.6
16.8
6
60%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 23.2
7.3
16.1
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 21.5
8.4
0
0-1
41%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
4.3
0
0-1
49%
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
Jamel Artis
G · 6'7" 213 · 25.1
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.