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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Mavericks58%108100
27Bulls42%105108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
34.1
31.5
26
59%
7
2
0
1
0
3
1
6
7-7
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.3
34.0
30.3
25
61%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-8
63%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
31.2
32.3
5
28%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.7
27.1
22.4
18
86%
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
5-8
63%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
25.5
29.9
6
55%
11
1
0
1
0
0
1
10
0-1
0%
3-5
5-8
60%
61%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.8
24.5
26.3
2
20%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.2
23.8
17.4
8
45%
8
1
0
0
0
3
4
4
2-2
100%
0-6
1-2
0%
50%
2-2
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.7
20.0
25.1
6
43%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
15.1
7.5
0
0%
6
1
2
0
2
2
4
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.1
4.5
5.2
4
106%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.7
6.4
0
1-1
63%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Scotty Hopson
G · 6'7" 204 · 28.6
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
34.5
31.3
16
52%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
49%
1-5
20%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
34.3
28.2
18
65%
7
7
1
2
1
2
0
7
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
34.2
30.0
17
57%
12
1
0
1
0
0
4
8
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
3-5
60%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.1
33.1
29.7
10
51%
11
5
3
1
1
2
2
9
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
0-2
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.7
24.8
25.1
8
59%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
58%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.1
34.0
22.5
22
62%
5
2
0
1
0
2
3
2
2-4
50%
7-11
4-8
64%
53%
2-5
40%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.3
22.0
27.5
7
41%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.6
13.7
16.0
4
33%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
6.4
6.1
4
106%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
3.0
14.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
3.0
0
0-0
50%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.4
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.9
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.0
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 26.3
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.9
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.