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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nuggets72%109108
23Grizzlies28%101102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
35
35
26
4
0
4
2
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
10-13
5-8
77%
55%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
33
29
9
9
5
1
1
0
5
1
8
5-7
71%
2-4
5-9
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
31
34
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.0
28
33
9
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.1
27
22
15
7
1
4
1
1
2
2
5
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
33
36
24
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
8-9
4-7
89%
50%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
21
20
9
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-4
3-6
100%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
18
13
8
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.3
15
14
4
3
1
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.3
8
0
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
4
0
1-1
54%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.7
3
0
0-0
52%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.1
36
29
22
9
5
0
1
0
7
0
9
5-5
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
34
19
12
1
6
1
1
2
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
33
28
13
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
1-2
50%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
30
13
12
3
2
4
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
2-5
40%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.8
28
32
16
7
1
1
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
8-11
4-7
73%
48%
0-1
0%
Myke Henry
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
22
19
5
2
2
5
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.1
21
13
9
7
4
2
0
0
1
6
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.7
14
18
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
12
2
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.4
10
14
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
32
1
4-8
46%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.7
32
1
4-8
53%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.2
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.