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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons
90
13Cavaliers
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
30
27
6
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.6
30
33
15
9
1
2
2
1
3
1
8
5-5
100%
5-5
7-12
100%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
29
31
11
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
3-7
43%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.0
29
31
25
8
5
1
1
0
1
2
6
2-5
40%
7-17
5-10
41%
51%
3-5
60%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
28
25
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
1-5
20%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.8
28
22
9
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
19
16
8
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
13
18
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
13
11
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
1-1
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
54%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
10
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
5
3
0
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
5
5
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-2
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.1
4
0
0-1
45%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.8
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
32
21
22
15
1
2
1
0
0
4
11
4-5
80%
9-14
3-6
64%
57%
0-1
0%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 25.4
30
29
13
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
5-5
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-2
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.2
29
38
31
7
7
1
2
0
3
2
5
4-6
67%
6-10
9-15
60%
59%
5-7
71%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
23
29
3
3
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.5
22
27
0
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 37.0
23
17
11
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
23
19
12
6
2
0
1
0
5
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
2-6
33%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 25.7
20
22
11
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
1-5
20%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.2
16
1
6
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.4
16
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-3
33%
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.4
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 27.0
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.