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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 6, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat34%101113
6Wizards66%107117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.8
36
27
16
7
5
1
1
0
1
3
4
3-3
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
35
27
16
2
2
3
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
21
24
8
6
1
0
1
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.0
14
22
6
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
6
18
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-2
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.9
39
28
15
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
1-4
25%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.8
38
22
21
3
4
3
1
1
0
0
3
3-7
43%
6-9
2-4
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.1
28
22
22
2
6
1
1
1
3
0
2
6-6
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
46%
0-5
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
25
19
3
9
5
1
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
57%
1-5
20%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
19
21
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.6
4
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.9
7
0
0-1
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.7
3
0
0-0
45%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 24.7
43
38
30
6
7
0
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
6-9
6-12
67%
52%
6-7
86%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
42
29
16
12
3
1
1
0
3
2
10
2-3
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
51%
2-3
67%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.3
40
27
19
3
7
1
1
1
2
2
1
6-8
75%
5-10
2-4
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 24.8
32
34
12
5
5
1
2
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
5-9
60%
56%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
23
22
8
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
2-8
4-6
25%
56%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
28
18
14
2
1
2
1
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 29.6
27
16
8
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.9
13
3
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
10
16
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 31.3
4
18
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
4
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.3
15
1
1-2
47%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.