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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 6, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets62%111107
23Mavericks38%106118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
32
30
21
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
3-5
60%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
32
34
11
3
2
0
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
55%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
26
31
4
9
5
2
1
1
1
1
8
0-1
0%
2-5
5-9
40%
57%
0-4
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.0
24
30
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.1
20
24
12
6
3
1
1
2
0
2
4
6-6
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
31
33
16
8
7
1
1
1
4
2
6
3-4
75%
2-8
4-7
25%
51%
3-7
43%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
22
15
7
5
3
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.3
18
10
10
5
1
0
0
0
3
1
4
1-3
33%
3-4
1-3
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
18
19
10
7
1
0
1
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.3
17
6
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.7
8
0
0-1
52%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
4
0
1-1
54%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
2
0
0-0
46%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.8
38
24
24
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
6-7
86%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.3
35
31
18
5
11
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
32
31
15
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-3
33%
7-17
5-10
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
24
26
14
4
0
2
1
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
5-9
4-6
56%
61%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.7
22
24
17
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
5-7
71%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.2
27
25
15
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
26
14
8
14
0
1
1
1
0
2
12
2-5
40%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.7
23
22
7
8
6
1
0
0
6
1
7
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
1-4
25%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
13
9
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.7
6
0
1-1
63%
Scotty Hopson
G · 6'7" 204 · 28.6
4
0
0-1
49%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.1
3
0
0-1
58%
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.