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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 9, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bulls32%10283
20Pistons68%10999
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
27
31
6
8
2
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
27
30
8
3
0
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
3-11
5-10
27%
48%
0-4
0%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
25
29
13
1
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.9
12
25
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.9
12
24
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
5-9
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.3
31
24
4
8
5
2
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.1
28
28
2
5
5
2
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-7
5-10
14%
52%
0-3
0%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.1
23
26
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.6
23
16
17
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
4-6
67%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
19
13
8
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.7
10
21
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-0
-
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.4
3
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
6
0
0-1
48%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.0
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 26.4
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.0
35
31
25
8
8
0
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
6-10
6-11
60%
52%
3-7
43%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
33
31
21
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-6
3-6
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
31
29
12
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
31
28
14
3
1
3
1
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.6
30
32
5
17
1
1
2
4
0
4
13
1-4
25%
2-7
6-11
29%
56%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
31
14
10
6
4
0
0
1
2
1
5
5-5
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-6
17%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
18
13
8
7
1
1
0
3
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
55%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.1
17
3
4
0
3
2
0
1
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
12
16
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
55%
0-3
0%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
15
1
2-5
48%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
8
0
1-1
44%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.8
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.8
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.