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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Grizzlies23%9780
22Mavericks77%107114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.7
36
24
4
5
4
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-11
3-6
18%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
35
28
10
6
3
1
1
3
2
0
6
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
30
30
17
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
4-6
67%
5-13
4-8
38%
48%
1-2
50%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.8
29
22
13
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
4-5
80%
3-10
3-6
30%
47%
1-2
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.7
29
29
14
10
2
1
1
0
1
2
8
3-3
100%
4-11
4-7
36%
51%
1-2
50%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.3
25
16
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-4
25%
56%
0-0
-
Xavier Rathan-Mayes
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
17
24
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.1
17
9
5
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.4
15
9
9
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
3-5
60%
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
6
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.4
21
1
2-5
45%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.4
15
0
1-3
46%
Myke Henry
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.1
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
31
31
25
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
10-11
91%
6-10
5-11
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
29
25
15
10
4
2
1
0
2
4
6
7-8
88%
4-6
4-6
67%
62%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
25
31
6
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.7
23
22
20
5
5
0
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
49%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.7
16
23
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-5
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.8
31
29
9
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.1
26
3
8
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
57%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.2
25
25
20
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
3-4
75%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
18
10
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
13
11
0
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.7
3
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
64%
0-0
-
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.3
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.