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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 12, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
99
14Trail Blazers
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.8
35
25
17
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
3-5
25%
49%
4-7
57%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.8
31
25
23
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
10-14
4-8
71%
49%
0-3
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.6
25
13
4
9
3
1
0
1
3
4
5
2-2
100%
1-10
2-3
10%
54%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.1
24
19
8
6
4
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
16
24
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
30
22
11
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
3-10
30%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.0
30
28
15
13
4
0
1
2
1
3
10
1-3
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
26
16
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
24
21
9
5
7
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
25
1
5-10
56%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
10
0
0-1
42%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
6
0
1-1
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.8
5
0
0-1
45%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.1
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.1
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
37
35
32
5
10
0
1
0
3
1
4
9-10
90%
1-5
5-10
20%
50%
7-14
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.5
32
24
5
9
1
1
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-6
17%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
32
36
17
2
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
3-6
6-12
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.6
31
21
27
16
3
0
1
3
3
5
11
3-5
60%
12-18
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
17
19
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
31
24
13
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.8
17
23
3
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.3
16
21
10
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
14
20
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
13
14
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-1
100%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.0
4
0
0-1
52%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.0
2
0
0-0
46%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
2
0
0-1
49%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 22.0
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.