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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 14, 2018
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat67%105119
25Kings33%99123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.9
39.0
27.0
33
66%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
8-9
89%
8-17
5-9
47%
52%
3-4
75%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.1
33.5
21.0
18
71%
10
7
2
1
1
2
4
6
4-4
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
57%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.9
28.3
28.6
14
70%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
4-8
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.7
27.3
17.8
6
30%
16
3
0
1
0
0
4
12
2-2
100%
2-9
3-5
22%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
13.7
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-3
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.0
37.6
28.3
10
42%
7
4
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
46%
2-3
67%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
35.5
24.7
22
55%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
6-17
35%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
31.1
22.0
13
44%
8
5
0
1
1
2
4
4
3-4
75%
2-7
3-4
29%
59%
2-6
33%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
19.0
20.1
3
150%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
1-1
100%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
20.9
1
3-5
51%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
16.7
0
4-7
58%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
4.3
0
1-1
53%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.8
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.1
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.2
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
36.4
28.6
10
43%
9
3
3
1
2
2
1
8
4-4
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
52%
0-1
0%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.2
35.4
26.2
20
62%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-5
40%
9-13
4-8
69%
45%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
33.0
19.4
22
62%
9
4
0
1
1
3
1
8
2-4
50%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
2-4
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
32.4
25.9
14
47%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
20.5
26.6
9
64%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.2
31.4
22.7
24
68%
6
3
2
1
1
0
2
4
4-4
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
2-7
29%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.8
22.1
23.5
5
83%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.0
18.5
21.0
6
75%
4
1
1
1
3
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 41.1
17.7
17.0
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 23.9
17.6
18.6
11
64%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
3-5
2-6
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.5
6.2
0
1-1
48%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.7
4.4
0
0-0
44%
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 26.9
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.0
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 22.0
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.