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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 15, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pelicans40%10393
7Spurs60%10798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.8
38.5
34.8
24
48%
8
7
2
1
3
1
3
5
4-5
80%
7-18
6-13
39%
51%
2-5
40%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.0
36.2
32.4
21
50%
14
2
0
1
2
6
5
9
5-5
100%
8-17
9-17
47%
52%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 29.0
31.5
29.4
11
61%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.1
29.4
25.8
6
25%
10
0
1
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
3-10
2-5
30%
50%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 32.1
24.0
28.5
6
44%
5
5
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.0
32.0
22.7
16
67%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.0
29.4
21.5
3
38%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 35.5
11.6
20.7
6
61%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 30.0
7.5
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 21.5
8.2
0
1-3
50%
Larry Drew II
· 6'2" 180 · 28.0
3.1
0
0-0
40%
Charles Cooke
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.7
1.4
0
0-0
46%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.6
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 19.9
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.0
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
38.0
26.8
25
44%
7
3
0
1
1
2
4
3
3-3
100%
11-26
7-14
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.6
34.2
21.3
8
29%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-6
1-3
17%
49%
1-6
17%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
34.0
21.9
6
51%
5
4
3
1
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.7
29.6
19.3
5
23%
7
2
0
1
6
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-8
13%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.5
26.4
23.7
18
65%
12
0
4
1
0
1
3
9
1-2
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
49%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.6
22.4
14.9
11
57%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
6-6
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.8
19.3
17.6
8
33%
4
4
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
51%
2-3
67%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
12.0
17.6
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.7
10.0
16.6
8
82%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.3
8.5
16.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
5.5
19.9
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
13.9
1
1-2
52%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
12.0
0
2-4
54%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.