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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 21, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets72%114135
28Bulls28%106102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.1
29
33
16
5
7
2
1
1
3
1
4
3-3
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
52%
3-6
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.9
29
35
19
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
5-7
71%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.1
27
30
22
8
3
5
1
1
3
1
7
5-6
83%
7-8
4-8
88%
51%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
26
33
16
3
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
51%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
24
34
21
7
5
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
7-9
6-10
78%
58%
2-2
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.1
25
20
14
3
5
1
1
1
3
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
19
16
4
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
19
14
7
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.4
19
11
10
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
2-5
40%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.3
12
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
7
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.7
4
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
4
0
1-1
54%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.7
28
26
16
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
60%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.3
24
25
10
2
3
5
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-8
25%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.6
23
26
11
1
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
3-4
75%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.0
23
15
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.1
18
21
6
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
2-7
29%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.1
26
27
15
8
2
0
1
0
2
2
6
4-4
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
53%
1-4
25%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.2
26
20
11
4
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
55%
0-2
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
25
14
10
0
7
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
24
20
14
8
1
1
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.5
23
23
6
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.0
7
0
0-0
53%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
3
0
0-0
50%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.