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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2018
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat43%102107
10Pacers57%105113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
39.7
28.7
10
51%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.9
35.8
28.6
9
50%
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.1
33.8
26.4
15
64%
9
3
0
1
0
4
2
7
3-6
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
2-3
67%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.9
29.0
22.1
19
95%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
49%
5-8
63%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.7
20.9
19.7
14
80%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
4-4
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
52%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
32.3
23.9
12
43%
9
9
3
1
0
4
1
8
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
58%
2-8
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
27.4
26.5
8
44%
1
1
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.2
26.9
19.8
13
50%
4
7
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.0
19.2
26.0
7
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
15.2
0
1-2
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.1
6.0
0
1-1
52%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
4.7
0
0-0
44%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.8
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.0
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.9
39.7
32.7
23
49%
2
5
3
2
0
5
0
2
5-6
83%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
2-8
25%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.9
37.9
29.7
18
65%
8
1
0
1
0
4
1
7
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
2-5
40%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.8
36.0
31.8
22
64%
9
0
5
2
3
1
3
6
2-3
67%
10-15
4-8
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.0
32.3
32.1
7
33%
8
4
0
1
2
2
2
6
5-6
83%
1-6
5-9
17%
54%
0-2
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
30.2
27.5
12
60%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
2-2
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
30.6
25.4
9
57%
10
7
0
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 27.6
21.9
19.1
8
44%
2
2
2
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 30.3
21.6
15.3
6
75%
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
14.9
11.3
8
133%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 33.2
8.4
0
2-4
51%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
3.8
0
0-1
47%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.9
2.4
0
0-0
51%
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 21.9
Ike Anigbogu
C · 6'10" 262 · 19.4
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 22.2
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.