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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets38%108104
876ers62%112123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.2
36
31
25
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
5-8
63%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.1
36
32
17
3
3
2
1
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.9
35
35
8
8
7
2
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.1
32
26
16
9
3
1
1
0
2
2
7
6-11
55%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
31
32
14
7
4
1
1
1
2
3
4
5-6
83%
3-12
5-10
25%
56%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.1
21
24
5
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
17
17
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
13
18
7
1
2
1
1
3
3
1
0
1-4
25%
3-3
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.4
12
10
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.3
5
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
3
11
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
4
0
0-1
45%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.8
3
0
0-0
53%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
34
26
18
6
2
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
4-8
50%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.7
34
28
7
13
11
0
1
1
1
6
7
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
56%
0-1
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.0
29
22
20
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
51%
3-7
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.8
27
19
19
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
4-6
67%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
27
24
20
13
2
1
1
2
4
1
12
8-10
80%
6-11
6-10
55%
54%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
24
21
11
6
1
1
1
2
1
3
3
0-2
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.0
20
25
11
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.9
15
14
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-1
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.8
14
13
10
4
8
0
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
5-13
2-4
38%
50%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
13
18
3
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
2
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.7
2
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
4
0
0-1
47%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 23.5
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.