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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 27, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Cavaliers
79
13Heat
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.2
38
34
18
6
7
0
1
0
6
1
5
4-5
80%
7-14
8-14
50%
59%
0-4
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
31
25
5
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-4
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.9
26
30
4
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.5
26
18
11
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.5
7
28
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-2
0%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 25.8
27
25
11
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 25.4
26
22
15
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
18
20
4
10
1
0
1
1
0
4
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
57%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 27.0
17
19
6
13
0
1
0
0
2
5
8
4-8
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.5
16
23
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.2
3
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.0
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 37.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.1
33
27
15
9
5
2
1
3
2
2
7
1-1
100%
7-8
4-6
88%
58%
0-3
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
30
31
15
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
51%
1-5
20%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.9
29
24
7
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
51%
1-4
25%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.9
29
29
10
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
23
4
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.0
26
22
7
9
3
1
1
0
2
2
7
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.9
25
26
19
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
2-5
40%
4-5
3-5
80%
60%
3-4
75%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
22
25
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.2
17
21
12
2
4
1
1
4
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.1
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.8
2
0
0-0
48%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.7
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.