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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 27, 2018
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Mavericks56%104103
28Kings44%10297
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
34
33
20
5
6
0
1
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
3-5
6-12
60%
50%
3-7
43%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.2
33
7
6
9
0
1
0
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
57%
0-2
0%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.4
25
7
10
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
2-7
29%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.3
25
29
19
1
6
0
1
0
5
1
0
4-4
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.8
20
22
5
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
1-7
14%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.5
26
8
3
5
4
0
0
2
1
0
5
1-4
25%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.2
23
24
15
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.8
20
7
6
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
64%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.9
19
25
9
1
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
2-6
33%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
11
6
10
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
5
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
21
1
3-5
62%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.0
18
1
2-5
55%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
31
23
10
8
3
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
57%
2-4
50%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 22.0
30
27
19
8
3
0
1
1
0
2
6
3-3
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
27
27
10
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
1-1
100%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.3
25
25
5
3
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
25
28
13
6
2
4
1
0
3
1
5
3-6
50%
5-5
5-10
100%
52%
0-0
-
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 24.0
26
22
8
6
5
0
1
1
1
2
4
6-6
100%
1-10
3-7
10%
44%
0-3
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.3
25
26
14
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
2-7
29%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.0
18
10
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.1
14
25
15
7
0
0
1
0
0
4
3
1-1
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
56%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.5
12
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 41.2
6
20
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
11
0
2-4
50%
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 27.0
4
0
1-1
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.8
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.9
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.