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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 1, 2018
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Rockets52%10683
4Spurs48%105100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 28.6
36
33
25
3
8
0
2
0
5
1
2
8-8
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
52%
1-6
17%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.3
29
18
18
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-11
1-3
45%
49%
2-4
50%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
28
26
11
10
0
0
1
2
0
3
7
5-6
83%
3-9
5-8
33%
62%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.9
28
29
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-6
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
27
30
7
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 32.2
29
26
11
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
22
16
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.9
18
20
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36.8
16
23
0
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
4
10
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.4
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.9
13
1
2-3
51%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.5
13
1
2-4
56%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 21.4
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 22.2
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.6
37
30
14
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
3-6
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
36
29
23
14
2
0
0
3
1
3
11
1-1
100%
11-19
8-16
58%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
30
26
12
7
0
2
1
2
1
1
6
4-4
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
2-6
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
26
22
5
1
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.5
25
27
13
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
6-13
4-9
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
24
20
21
3
0
2
1
1
0
1
2
3-5
60%
9-12
3-7
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.7
20
15
6
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.9
13
17
4
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
12
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.7
11
21
2
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-1
0%
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.4
2
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.7
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.