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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
776ers47%105115
19Pistons53%106108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.8
34
24
25
2
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
5-7
71%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
33
26
13
11
1
0
1
0
1
5
6
4-6
67%
3-10
3-5
30%
50%
1-6
17%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.7
32
27
16
6
7
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
55%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
30
28
12
4
2
3
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.9
29
21
9
10
3
0
1
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
58%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.0
30
26
19
4
2
3
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
4-7
57%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
19
21
11
3
3
3
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
59%
0-0
-
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.8
16
18
4
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-1
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
13
18
4
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
4
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.7
6
0
0-1
47%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
5
0
0-1
43%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 23.6
4
0
0-1
45%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.1
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.6
38
31
13
15
1
0
1
1
4
5
10
3-7
43%
5-9
6-11
56%
54%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
36
29
25
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
7-8
88%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.8
33
28
19
5
4
3
1
0
5
1
4
3-5
60%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
2-6
33%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
31
31
15
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
4-7
57%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.0
20
27
8
4
7
0
1
1
2
0
4
6-6
100%
1-9
5-10
11%
48%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
28
20
14
3
12
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
25
21
12
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.2
13
14
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.3
9
14
0
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
7
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
4
0
1-1
46%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.3
4
0
0-1
43%
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
2
0
0-0
44%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 23.0
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.9
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.1
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.