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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 8, 2018
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons68%105117
25Grizzlies32%99130
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.7
41
34
12
18
3
2
2
0
2
8
10
0-2
0%
6-12
6-11
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.9
32
31
9
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
2-5
40%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
32
23
18
3
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
4-4
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
30
30
19
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
5-7
71%
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
4-7
57%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.0
20
27
13
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
7-7
100%
0-5
5-10
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
28
20
11
3
11
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
3-8
38%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.2
18
15
17
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
4-6
67%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.3
16
13
7
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-7
14%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
16
12
11
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
3-5
60%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.3
7
11
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.2
5
0
0-1
46%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
4
0
1-1
47%
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
2
0
0-0
47%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 23.0
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.9
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.1
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.2
35
14
20
9
9
1
0
1
3
2
7
1-1
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.8
32
24
20
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
4-7
57%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.2
32
27
22
8
8
2
1
0
3
0
8
11-14
79%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.2
22
24
8
4
0
2
1
2
1
1
3
0-1
0%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.2
22
24
13
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
3-4
75%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
26
28
25
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
4-6
67%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.3
23
23
13
7
2
0
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
6-8
4-6
75%
57%
0-0
-
Myke Henry
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.3
16
21
4
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Omari Johnson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.9
16
10
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.9
16
12
0
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.9
17
0
2-4
48%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.5
15
0
2-3
48%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.8
10
0
1-2
52%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.5
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.4
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.