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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Trail Blazers37%10882
7Nuggets63%11388
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
40
34
25
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
7-11
64%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
2-10
20%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
38
34
16
7
3
2
1
0
2
4
3
4-4
100%
3-13
6-13
23%
49%
2-5
40%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
38
27
4
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-4
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.5
34
29
7
10
2
2
1
1
3
3
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
1-8
13%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.6
30
28
20
19
1
1
1
0
2
8
11
2-3
67%
9-15
6-12
60%
52%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
17
23
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.8
15
16
0
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.4
13
19
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
9
17
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
6
7
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.1
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 22.0
12
0
1-3
46%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.1
3
0
0-1
47%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.8
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.3
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.3
39
33
22
7
3
0
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
7-12
4-7
58%
51%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
38
34
15
20
11
2
1
1
2
2
18
4-4
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
57%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.2
36
30
6
9
1
0
1
2
2
5
4
2-4
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
51%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.9
34
30
8
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
52%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.1
33
35
12
2
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
1-6
17%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
18
30
12
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
56%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
17
15
8
5
2
2
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.1
14
21
5
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
1-4
25%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
6
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.4
4
14
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.4
3
0
0-1
51%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
3
0
0-0
47%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.8
2
0
0-0
54%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.