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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons56%109119
27Bulls44%10787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.3
40.9
17.4
16
67%
17
4
4
1
4
2
4
13
0-0
-
8-12
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
30.8
28.5
23
73%
5
5
1
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
3-6
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.0
28.6
26.7
7
39%
2
10
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
26.9
32.7
18
83%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
55%
4-7
57%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.9
20.9
29.5
11
79%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
3-4
75%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.2
28.3
18.2
14
64%
10
2
1
0
0
1
0
10
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
2-3
67%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
21.5
14.0
8
40%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
55%
0-4
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.3
19.6
16.1
7
50%
1
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
16.3
20.0
13
81%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
1-2
50%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 23.0
3.1
3.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
3.1
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.2
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
3.9
0
1-1
47%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.7
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.9
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
33.0
23.6
6
33%
3
9
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
44%
2-3
67%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.2
29.8
27.4
13
38%
6
2
1
1
0
3
2
4
2-3
67%
4-13
4-8
31%
51%
1-3
33%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.8
29.7
27.5
10
65%
6
1
1
1
0
1
5
1
4-6
67%
3-5
4-6
60%
58%
0-0
-
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 28.3
29.1
23.1
14
64%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
21.5
19.9
20
70%
8
1
2
0
0
0
2
6
3-3
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.5
32.2
24.5
10
36%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
1-6
17%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.0
23.9
21.6
3
30%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
1-5
20%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.2
22.5
22.3
11
40%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
0-2
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
18.3
12.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.0
24.5
1
2-4
44%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 30.0
6.4
0
1-2
53%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.1
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.4
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.1
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.