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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 17, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nets33%104100
17Pistons67%111103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 27.1
37.1
22.5
13
46%
6
5
1
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
53%
1-7
14%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 33.3
35.9
2.2
1
9%
3
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-4
0%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 24.1
34.0
25.1
27
63%
4
4
1
1
1
3
1
3
7-8
88%
10-16
3-7
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 20.5
30.2
24.9
17
72%
10
0
0
1
4
2
2
8
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
56%
2-3
67%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.6
24.9
23.6
8
40%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
32.3
28.3
23
57%
4
6
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-5
60%
10-15
2-4
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
17.6
23.1
8
90%
7
3
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-1
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 25.0
17.4
21.7
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 20.7
10.6
18.1
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.9
19.6
1
3-6
52%
Dzanan Musa
G · 6'9" 195 · 19.4
18.9
1
2-4
47%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 22.9
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 25.7
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 23.8
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.5
35.0
22.1
19
45%
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
2-9
22%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.6
34.3
29.4
26
60%
8
6
0
1
0
1
2
6
9-11
82%
7-16
5-9
44%
50%
1-1
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.2
32.2
33.8
24
53%
20
2
0
2
1
4
9
11
3-4
75%
9-18
6-11
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
19.4
21.8
7
70%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.2
18.9
9.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.9
33.0
12.0
6
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.3
28.8
21.9
11
50%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
20.1
10.6
4
67%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.7
14.7
2.2
6
44%
7
4
2
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Zach Lofton
G · 6'4" 180 · 25.9
3.8
9.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.4
25.0
1
2-5
44%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
24.0
1
2-4
52%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.4
9.9
0
1-2
52%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
9.4
0
1-2
49%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.1
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.4
Keenan Evans
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.