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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 17, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies33%10483
11Pacers67%110111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.7
30
28
13
6
3
3
1
0
0
1
5
7-8
88%
0-8
3-7
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.0
29
26
11
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
2-5
40%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 28.3
25
25
9
7
2
2
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 32.4
25
14
12
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
44%
4-8
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.0
23
11
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-5
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 28.5
30
13
3
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-7
1-3
14%
46%
0-1
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.1
25
22
10
5
1
3
1
1
0
2
3
6-6
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 29.7
22
23
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
19
25
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
6
28
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 24.0
6
13
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.7
12
0
2-4
51%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.3
2
0
0-1
51%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
DJ Stephens
G-F · 6'5" 188 · 27.8
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.1
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.3
28
29
10
8
3
0
1
1
3
3
5
0-1
0%
5-6
4-8
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.5
27
26
19
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
3-3
100%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
26
33
16
5
5
0
2
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
5-10
60%
51%
3-6
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
21
25
0
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.6
20
28
8
8
1
0
1
4
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 22.5
29
25
14
15
2
0
1
0
3
6
9
0-2
0%
7-11
5-9
64%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
28
22
11
6
3
1
1
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.8
24
9
12
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.1
24
25
14
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
1-5
20%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
4
11
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 22.0
4
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-2
50%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 22.8
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-1
0%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.5
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 22.5
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.4
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.8
Ike Anigbogu
C · 6'10" 262 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.