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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 17, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets57%115107
19Clippers43%11298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.8
34.8
29.0
19
69%
5
2
0
1
2
2
0
5
4-4
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-5
60%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
34.4
32.0
20
51%
3
2
0
2
0
0
3
0
8-8
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
54%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
33.5
33.1
21
60%
8
5
1
1
1
2
2
6
8-10
80%
5-9
6-11
56%
55%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.6
31.6
31.8
7
29%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.7
30.3
23.9
11
45%
16
0
1
1
1
2
3
13
9-12
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.9
18.8
20.0
10
58%
7
0
1
1
0
1
0
7
4-6
67%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.3
16.4
9.0
7
39%
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
15.1
12.8
5
83%
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
13.4
19.6
2
26%
3
2
0
1
3
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.9
11.8
13.6
5
42%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
0.0
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
10.9
0
1-1
52%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
1.3
0
0-0
52%
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.5
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.3
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
40.5
30.2
19
61%
10
1
0
1
3
2
1
9
5-6
83%
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
2-6
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.2
33.9
24.2
16
58%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
4-7
57%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.9
27.9
24.2
8
40%
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
19.5
23.1
0
0%
4
6
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
18.2
19.9
6
60%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 20.3
28.2
18.7
11
85%
2
4
1
1
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.0
24.4
27.5
14
57%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-4
5-10
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 30.2
17.9
2.3
18
85%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
6-6
100%
6-8
1-1
75%
55%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
16.3
21.3
6
34%
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-8
6-9
25%
62%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.1
9.2
12.1
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 30.3
4.0
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.6
13.9
0
1-3
48%
Tyrone Wallace
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.4
13.7
0
2-3
48%
Milos Teodosic
G · 6'5" 196 · 31.6
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
Angel Delgado
C · 6'10" 245 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.