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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
October 18, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat36%106113
13Wizards64%111112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
38
35
28
4
5
1
2
1
2
2
2
7-8
88%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
5-11
45%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
34
24
20
8
6
0
1
1
2
1
7
3-3
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
3-7
43%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.5
31
31
8
6
8
1
1
1
3
3
3
1-1
100%
2-12
4-9
17%
48%
1-6
17%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.3
29
30
9
10
0
0
1
1
2
4
6
3-5
60%
3-6
6-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.7
24
15
17
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
1
6-9
67%
4-8
1-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.8
26
21
9
8
4
2
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.4
24
24
9
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
17
22
4
9
0
0
1
0
3
3
6
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
15
18
9
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.9
11
0
0-1
44%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
6
0
1-1
46%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
5
0
0-1
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.4
1
0
0-0
44%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
36
32
26
3
9
1
2
3
3
1
2
7-10
70%
8-10
6-13
80%
46%
1-6
17%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 25.4
34
31
9
11
0
3
1
3
0
2
9
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 25.3
27
35
20
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
2-7
29%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
25
25
11
5
2
0
1
2
3
0
5
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
2-3
67%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 32.0
12
10
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
33
14
17
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
25
27
9
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
4-4
3-5
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
20
26
9
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
5-6
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.6
15
2
4
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
14
20
4
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 27.6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 19.2
13
0
1-2
49%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.2
6
0
1-1
52%
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.6
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.