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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
October 21, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
98
6Nuggets
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
39
35
30
4
6
0
2
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
54%
6-16
38%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.1
39
37
20
11
7
1
1
1
4
0
11
6-7
86%
7-15
8-15
47%
56%
0-4
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
36
35
15
7
0
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
1-6
17%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
33
33
4
5
4
1
2
0
3
1
4
2-4
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.3
19
15
8
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.7
26
12
4
3
3
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
19
19
10
6
1
0
1
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 31.6
11
17
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.6
11
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.8
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.0
14
1
2-3
49%
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.3
4
0
0-1
49%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 22.7
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
35
34
28
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
2
4-7
57%
9-11
5-9
82%
53%
2-9
22%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
32
31
23
11
6
0
1
0
2
3
8
9-12
75%
7-13
6-10
54%
55%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
27
12
5
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.7
26
29
5
6
1
3
1
1
1
2
4
3-8
38%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.7
26
34
3
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-4
4-9
0%
48%
0-5
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
23
13
8
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.3
22
13
9
6
4
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-2
0%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
22
17
6
4
3
3
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-5
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
16
15
11
2
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
3-5
60%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.9
11
10
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
13
0
1-2
47%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
51%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.8
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.7
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.3
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.