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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 23, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Kings18%113112
6Nuggets82%126126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.2
24
26
11
6
3
1
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
5-7
6-11
71%
51%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.8
23
25
5
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.5
21
23
10
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-3
33%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.8
21
35
6
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-5
40%
2-7
5-11
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 28.3
20
21
12
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 19.6
32
24
20
9
3
0
1
5
4
1
8
1-3
33%
8-10
4-8
80%
50%
1-1
100%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
28
25
17
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 24.6
27
10
14
5
7
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
41%
2-4
50%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.5
21
22
11
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
14
15
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-5
3-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 22.6
5
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
5
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
2-3
67%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 23.8
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.6
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
26
34
18
3
5
1
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
6-10
75%
57%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
23
31
14
12
6
1
1
0
3
2
10
1-1
100%
5-9
6-11
56%
58%
1-2
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
23
18
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.7
22
28
15
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.7
18
30
19
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
3-6
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.3
29
16
11
3
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
2-4
30%
52%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
25
16
5
9
1
2
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
1-4
25%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
23
19
12
5
3
0
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
54%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
21
15
11
7
2
3
1
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
58%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.9
20
10
11
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
52%
1-3
33%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
4
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
3
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.8
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.6
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.3
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.