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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 24, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks
87
16Heat
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.2
31
29
9
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
2-3
67%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
23
33
14
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
20
18
6
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
2-4
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 26.4
19
30
8
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
7-12
57%
56%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 25.9
17
25
3
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-9
4-8
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
34
21
20
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
3-8
38%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 23.7
22
20
13
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-6
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
2-8
25%
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 22.8
21
19
4
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.6
18
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.2
17
17
6
9
0
1
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.6
12
4
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 23.3
6
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 23.2
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.1
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
Kevin Knox
F · 6'9" 212 · 19.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
35
32
21
8
1
1
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
5-6
83%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
31
34
19
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
6
4-5
80%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
3-3
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
30
16
11
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
59%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.5
29
34
13
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-6
5-10
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
27
27
22
14
0
0
1
3
1
2
12
6-10
60%
8-15
6-10
53%
56%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.5
27
23
10
4
2
2
1
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.8
26
24
7
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
21
18
4
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
10
3
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.4
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-2
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
24
1
2-5
45%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.7
23
1
2-5
55%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.9
6
0
0-0
47%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.