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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 24, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards
122
1Warriors
144
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
27
35
13
2
6
0
2
0
4
0
2
2-4
50%
4-7
6-13
57%
45%
1-5
20%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 25.4
24
33
12
1
1
2
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
53%
2-6
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
23
25
14
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 25.3
19
35
23
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
9-11
5-11
82%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.6
11
12
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
30
28
17
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
29
23
9
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
3-9
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
28
22
10
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
21
12
8
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
8-8
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 27.6
13
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.2
9
3
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 19.2
7
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 32.0
10
0
1-2
54%
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.6
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
32
34
51
4
3
0
2
1
2
0
4
10-10
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
55%
11-16
69%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.1
32
33
30
8
7
1
1
1
3
0
8
3-3
100%
12-15
8-14
80%
56%
1-3
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
30
31
19
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
1-5
20%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
28
31
5
5
12
1
2
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.3
12
18
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
3-4
75%
1-1
3-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.7
26
20
2
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-2
0%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.8
21
7
8
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.1
15
17
8
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 31.6
15
17
5
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
14
18
2
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.6
7
13
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
7
10
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-1
0%
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.3
4
5
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 22.7
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.0
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.