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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons44%111119
22Nets56%113120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.6
41.7
32.7
25
59%
9
4
2
1
1
6
2
7
5-7
71%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
4-8
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.2
37.9
31.3
24
65%
23
1
1
1
2
4
10
13
8-10
80%
8-13
7-13
62%
53%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.5
35.4
26.7
21
43%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
6-16
3-7
38%
46%
2-7
29%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.4
33.3
29.5
6
52%
12
2
1
1
0
2
1
11
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
8.8
30.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.3
31.2
26.8
4
41%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
3-7
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.2
28.7
10.8
9
44%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.1
15.5
9.3
8
68%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
14.4
10.5
9
71%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.7
12.8
14.8
9
87%
0
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3-5
60%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.9
5.5
12.4
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.5
4.5
0
1-1
51%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.5
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
Keenan Evans
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Zach Lofton
G · 6'4" 180 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 27.2
40.7
27.3
23
75%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
56%
4-7
57%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 24.2
39.6
29.4
19
51%
6
6
2
1
0
1
0
6
4-6
67%
6-11
5-9
55%
52%
1-5
20%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 33.3
37.5
20.5
11
47%
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
6-6
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
1-6
17%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.7
25.0
27.4
6
19%
2
6
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-6
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 20.5
21.6
24.6
14
69%
9
1
0
1
0
2
4
5
2-5
40%
6-8
4-6
75%
60%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.6
31.6
24.9
25
75%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 23.8
24.9
21.6
8
44%
7
3
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
20.2
23.9
3
25%
6
2
0
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
18.3
15.7
10
68%
10
0
0
0
0
3
5
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
5.7
16.3
1
13%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.9
3.2
0
1-1
54%
Dzanan Musa
G · 6'9" 195 · 19.5
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 20.7
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 23.0
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 32.3
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 25.0
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.