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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Spurs63%118120
27Suns37%11490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
27.9
36.5
25
88%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
5-5
100%
10-12
9-18
83%
50%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.5
26.2
21.6
4
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
23.8
33.8
24
81%
3
1
0
1
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
10-13
8-16
77%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.2
22.8
31.6
12
61%
8
0
0
1
0
2
0
8
1-2
50%
4-7
5-11
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
22.3
28.2
7
47%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.0
23.6
12.0
5
87%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
56%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.6
23.3
21.1
14
44%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
20.4
27.9
9
58%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
18.9
3.4
6
61%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.3
16.1
15.1
8
57%
9
4
0
0
3
1
0
9
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.0
8.1
4.9
2
100%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
62%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.6
6.8
2.2
4
41%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
52%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.1
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 19.9
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
35.6
22.3
21
59%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
7-14
5-9
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 20.3
30.9
30.6
13
48%
8
0
0
1
0
3
4
4
1-1
100%
6-13
7-12
46%
56%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 33.3
30.4
30.1
14
55%
7
3
2
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
51%
2-4
50%
Elie Okobo
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.0
28.4
19.0
8
40%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.7
20.8
22.4
4
29%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
27.2
19.6
16
74%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-7
1-3
71%
50%
1-2
50%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.4
19.7
3.3
7
29%
2
1
3
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
46%
1-6
17%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.3
12.0
10.9
3
21%
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-6
17%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 38.6
9.8
13.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.1
9.0
12.3
2
43%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-3
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.5
8.1
24.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.0
4.3
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
60%
0-0
-
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 21.0
3.9
3.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 27.4
George King
F · 6'6" 218 · 24.8
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.