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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 1, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets
110
25Cavaliers
91
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
28
33
14
3
3
1
2
2
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
56%
1-5
20%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.7
23
36
10
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
5-9
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
22
29
4
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
6-10
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.7
21
28
16
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
1-1
100%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
18
18
7
6
1
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
29
7
23
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
2
6-7
86%
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
5-8
63%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
25
19
12
8
1
1
1
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
5-10
3-5
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.9
24
25
5
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
1-4
25%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.3
22
23
7
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
22
18
11
6
3
1
1
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
58%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.3
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.8
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.7
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.6
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
35
20
6
4
1
3
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-4
38%
57%
0-2
0%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
30
31
13
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
2-6
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 27.6
28
26
10
7
4
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
56%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 26.0
28
28
8
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
6-6
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
48%
0-3
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.5
24
23
10
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
2-2
100%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 19.8
25
25
12
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
1-1
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 26.4
20
23
17
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
1
3-3
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
0-3
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.8
19
19
8
3
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 37.6
18
15
0
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.8
10
8
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.8
5
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
7
0
0-1
42%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 35.5
6
0
0-1
54%
Billy Preston
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.0
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 30.1
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.