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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2018
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons33%11199
776ers67%117109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.6
37.0
33.9
38
68%
13
6
2
1
0
7
1
12
12-16
75%
10-14
6-12
71%
50%
2-7
29%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.4
30.3
29.4
2
14%
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.6
26.7
28.4
9
33%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
1-5
4-9
20%
46%
1-6
17%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.2
20.8
32.2
8
39%
9
1
0
1
1
1
1
8
2-5
40%
3-7
7-13
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.2
11.8
16.6
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.3
28.7
27.0
8
37%
2
2
2
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.5
22.5
3.8
6
51%
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
3-4
1-1
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.9
20.2
9.7
13
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.7
15.7
13.4
9
78%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
13.6
11.5
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.1
12.7
11.1
2
25%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
21.8
1
2-4
50%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.5
Keenan Evans
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Zach Lofton
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
33.8
32.3
39
69%
17
1
0
1
2
4
0
17
18-23
78%
9-15
8-15
60%
53%
1-3
33%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.9
31.6
33.3
5
50%
3
1
1
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.3
29.3
31.8
9
68%
5
5
5
2
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
2-4
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
23.4
21.7
4
29%
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.6
22.2
27.4
5
42%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 34.4
30.8
30.3
16
57%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
8-9
89%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
2-6
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27.3
25.8
19.3
14
55%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
6-6
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
2-8
25%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.6
19.4
19.3
11
74%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
14.2
11.7
6
63%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
59%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.5
9.5
23.5
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
7.4
0
1-2
53%
Jonah Bolden
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.8
2.7
0
0-1
53%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 21.3
2.6
0
0-0
50%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.1
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
Zhaire Smith
G · 6'4" 199 · 19.4
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.