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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
November 5, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat49%111120
21Pistons51%112115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
38.0
34.8
27
62%
8
4
0
2
2
1
2
6
2-2
100%
8-16
4-8
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
34.5
30.8
9
38%
6
5
3
1
0
1
0
6
2-4
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.5
33.5
16.0
21
50%
7
6
0
0
1
3
2
5
6-7
86%
6-12
2-4
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
33.4
33.0
8
45%
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-2
0%
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
2-3
67%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
29.0
24.1
11
81%
8
1
3
1
1
0
3
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.8
28.8
25.2
18
51%
1
2
0
1
1
3
1
0
2-6
33%
8-14
4-9
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
24.0
17.3
13
53%
5
4
1
1
2
2
0
5
4-5
80%
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
3-9
33%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.5
21.7
24.3
9
83%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.7
18.5
9.9
4
50%
6
0
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.9
3.7
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
22.1
1
4-8
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.4
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.2
44.1
26.9
25
54%
24
3
1
1
1
4
11
13
3-9
33%
11-19
6-11
58%
54%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 29.6
40.0
34.5
24
49%
15
7
1
1
0
4
3
12
6-8
75%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
2-8
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.6
38.0
27.3
25
53%
4
6
1
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
47%
3-9
33%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
30.5
12.4
16
62%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.2
12.3
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.9
35.0
15.0
21
61%
9
4
2
1
0
2
4
5
3-5
60%
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
4-9
44%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.3
26.4
27.4
4
22%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.4
14.0
29.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.1
11.2
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.7
8.9
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.5
4.5
13.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.5
11.3
0
1-2
46%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
Keenan Evans
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Zach Lofton
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.