Final Win Prob. pScore
2918%113
103
882%126
110
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
103.0100108.8
GSW logo Warriors
107.810294.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

WarriorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
110
Q4 - 0:04.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)103
110
Q4 - 0:06.0HawksTaurean Prince makes two point driving finger roll layup103
110
Q4 - 0:20.5WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
110
Q4 - 0:20.5WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
109
Q4 - 0:20.5HawksDeAndre' Bembry personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)101
108
Q4 - 0:26.0Hawks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore, DeAndre' Bembry, Alex Poythress, Jeremy Lin)101
108
Q4 - 0:26.0Warriors 60 second timeout101
108
Q4 - 0:31.3HawksTaurean Prince personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)101
108
Q4 - 0:36.3WarriorsKevin Durant defensive rebound101
108
Q4 - 0:37.8HawksJeremy Lin misses two point finger roll layup101
108
Q4 - 0:43.5WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point stepback jump shot101
108
Q4 - 0:59.5WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound101
106
Q4 - 1:01HawksKent Bazemore misses three point jump shot101
106
Q4 - 1:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)101
106
Q4 - 1:25HawksAlex Len defensive rebound101
106
Q4 - 1:26WarriorsQuinn Cook misses two point jump shot101
106
Q4 - 1:43HawksKent Bazemore makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
106
Q4 - 1:43Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Klay Thompson, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Quinn Cook)100
106
Q4 - 1:43HawksKent Bazemore makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
106
Q4 - 1:43WarriorsDamian Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Kent Bazemore draws the foul)99
106
Q4 - 1:43HawksHawks defensive rebound99
106
Q4 - 1:46WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot99
106
Q4 - 2:00HawksJeremy Lin turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Durant steals)99
106
Q4 - 2:05HawksJeremy Lin defensive rebound99
106
Q4 - 2:07WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot99
106
Q4 - 2:26HawksKent Bazemore makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jeremy Lin assists)99
106
Q4 - 2:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)97
106
Q4 - 2:35HawksHawks defensive rebound97
106
Q4 - 2:39WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot97
106
Q4 - 2:55Hawks 60 second timeout97
106
Q4 - 2:55HawksAlex Len personal foul (Loose ball) (Quinn Cook draws the foul)97
106
Q4 - 2:55WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound97
106
Q4 - 2:56HawksAlex Len misses two point jump shot97
106
Q4 - 3:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)97
106
Q4 - 3:12WarriorsKevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)97
106
Q4 - 3:12WarriorsKevin Durant offensive foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)97
106
Q4 - 3:21WarriorsDamian Jones defensive rebound97
106
Q4 - 3:22HawksAlex Poythress misses two point tip layup97
106
Q4 - 3:22HawksAlex Poythress offensive rebound97
106
Q4 - 3:23HawksKent Bazemore misses two point layup97
106
Q4 - 3:29HawksAlex Len defensive rebound97
106
Q4 - 3:33WarriorsQuinn Cook misses three point pullup jump shot97
106
Q4 - 3:56HawksAlex Len makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jeremy Lin assists)97
106
Q4 - 4:04WarriorsQuinn Cook shooting foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)95
106
Q4 - 4:14WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Quinn Cook assists)95
106
Q4 - 4:37HawksKent Bazemore makes regular free throw 1 of 195
104
Q4 - 4:37Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Damian Jones, Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant, Quinn Cook)94
104
Q4 - 4:37WarriorsJordan Bell shooting foul (Kent Bazemore draws the foul)94
104
Q4 - 4:37HawksKent Bazemore makes two point driving layup94
104
Q4 - 4:47WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot (Quinn Cook assists)92
104
Q4 - 4:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)92
101
Q4 - 4:49WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound92
101
Q4 - 4:50WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point driving bank jump shot92
101
Q4 - 5:06HawksJeremy Lin makes three point running jump shot92
101
Q4 - 5:08HawksAlex Poythress defensive rebound89
101
Q4 - 5:11WarriorsQuinn Cook misses two point jump shot89
101
Q4 - 5:37HawksJeremy Lin makes two point stepback jump shot (Taurean Prince assists)89
101
Q4 - 6:00WarriorsQuinn Cook makes two point stepback jump shot87
101
Q4 - 6:23HawksTaurean Prince turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Durant steals)87
99
Q4 - 6:29HawksAlex Poythress defensive rebound87
99
Q4 - 6:31WarriorsJordan Bell misses two point layup87
99
Q4 - 6:45HawksTaurean Prince makes regular free throw 2 of 287
99
Q4 - 6:45HawksTaurean Prince makes regular free throw 1 of 286
99
Q4 - 6:45Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Jordan Bell, Quinn Cook)85
99
Q4 - 6:45Warriors 60 second timeout85
99
Q4 - 6:45WarriorsJordan Bell shooting foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)85
99
Q4 - 6:56WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jordan Bell assists)85
99
Q4 - 7:10WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound85
97
Q4 - 7:12HawksJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot85
97
Q4 - 7:26HawksAlex Poythress defensive rebound85
97
Q4 - 7:28WarriorsJonas Jerebko misses three point jump shot85
97
Q4 - 7:45HawksJeremy Lin makes three point pullup jump shot (Alex Len assists)85
97
Q4 - 7:55WarriorsKlay Thompson makes regular free throw 3 of 382
97
Q4 - 7:55Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore, Alex Poythress, Jeremy Lin)82
96
Q4 - 7:55WarriorsKlay Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 382
96
Q4 - 7:55WarriorsKlay Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 382
95
Q4 - 7:55HawksDeAndre' Bembry shooting foul (Klay Thompson draws the foul)82
94
Q4 - 8:08Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Klay Thompson, Jonas Jerebko, Jordan Bell, Shaun Livingston)82
94
Q4 - 8:08HawksDeAndre' Bembry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
94
Q4 - 8:25WarriorsAndre Iguodala makes three point pullup jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)82
94
Q4 - 8:38HawksTaurean Prince makes two point driving finger roll layup (Trae Young assists)82
91
Q4 - 9:03WarriorsShaun Livingston makes two point layup (Andre Iguodala assists)80
91
Q4 - 9:13WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound80
89
Q4 - 9:15HawksTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot80
89
Q4 - 9:18WarriorsAndre Iguodala turnover (lost ball) (DeAndre' Bembry steals)80
89
Q4 - 9:20WarriorsAndre Iguodala defensive rebound80
89
Q4 - 9:21HawksTaurean Prince misses two point layup80
89
Q4 - 9:26HawksAlex Poythress defensive rebound80
89
Q4 - 9:30WarriorsShaun Livingston misses two point jump shot80
89
Q4 - 9:34HawksAlex Poythress makes two point tip layup80
89
Q4 - 9:39HawksAlex Poythress offensive rebound78
89
Q4 - 9:40HawksTrae Young misses two point floating jump shot78
89
Q4 - 9:49WarriorsKevon Looney makes regular free throw 1 of 178
89
Q4 - 9:49HawksAlex Len shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)78
88
Q4 - 9:49WarriorsKevon Looney makes two point dunk78
88
Q4 - 9:50WarriorsKevon Looney offensive rebound78
86
Q4 - 9:51WarriorsDeAndre' Bembry blocks Kevon Looney's two point jump shot78
86
Q4 - 10:14HawksAlex Poythress makes two point cutting dunk (DeAndre' Bembry assists)78
86
Q4 - 10:25Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Trae Young, Taurean Prince, DeAndre' Bembry, Alex Poythress)76
86
Q4 - 10:25WarriorsJonas Jerebko personal foul (Alex Poythress draws the foul)76
86
Q4 - 10:29WarriorsAndre Iguodala makes two point putback dunk76
86
Q4 - 10:35WarriorsAndre Iguodala offensive rebound76
84
Q4 - 10:36WarriorsShaun Livingston misses two point layup76
84
Q4 - 10:40WarriorsShaun Livingston defensive rebound76
84
Q4 - 10:41HawksMiles Plumlee misses two point dunk76
84
Q4 - 10:53WarriorsKevon Looney turnover (offensive foul)76
84
Q4 - 10:53WarriorsKevon Looney offensive foul (DeAndre' Bembry draws the foul)76
84
Q4 - 11:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
84
Q4 - 11:01WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound76
84
Q4 - 11:03HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses two point hook shot76
84
Q4 - 11:29WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)76
84
Q4 - 11:37HawksTaurean Prince turnover (offensive foul)76
82
Q4 - 11:37HawksTaurean Prince offensive foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)76
82
Q4 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Klay Thompson, Jonas Jerebko, Kevon Looney, Shaun Livingston)76
82
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
82
Q3 - 0:03.0HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes three point pullup jump shot (Miles Plumlee assists)76
82
Q3 - 0:05.2WarriorsKevon Looney personal foul (Miles Plumlee draws the foul)73
82
Q3 - 0:25.2WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point running layup (Kevon Looney assists)73
82
Q3 - 0:34.3WarriorsKevin Durant defensive rebound73
80
Q3 - 0:35.2HawksMiles Plumlee misses two point putback dunk73
80
Q3 - 0:35.2HawksMiles Plumlee offensive rebound73
80
Q3 - 0:37.6HawksTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot73
80
Q3 - 0:44.5HawksTrae Young defensive rebound73
80
Q3 - 0:45.2WarriorsMiles Plumlee blocks Alfonzo McKinnie's two point layup73
80
Q3 - 1:05HawksMiles Plumlee makes two point dunk (Trae Young assists)73
80
Q3 - 1:16WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 271
80
Q3 - 1:16WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 271
79
Q3 - 1:16HawksAlex Poythress shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)71
78
Q3 - 1:33HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point dunk71
78
Q3 - 1:37WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie turnover (bad pass) (DeAndre' Bembry steals)69
78
Q3 - 1:49Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Shaun Livingston)69
78
Q3 - 1:49Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Taurean Prince, Miles Plumlee, DeAndre' Bembry, Alex Poythress)69
78
Q3 - 1:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
78
Q3 - 1:49WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound69
78
Q3 - 1:51HawksTaurean Prince misses two point driving bank jump shot69
78
Q3 - 2:11WarriorsQuinn Cook makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
78
Q3 - 2:27WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie defensive rebound69
76
Q3 - 2:29HawksAlex Poythress misses three point jump shot69
76
Q3 - 2:33HawksDeAndre' Bembry offensive rebound69
76
Q3 - 2:34HawksAlex Poythress misses two point putback layup69
76
Q3 - 2:39HawksAlex Poythress offensive rebound69
76
Q3 - 2:41HawksJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot69
76
Q3 - 2:46HawksJeremy Lin defensive rebound69
76
Q3 - 2:47WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point bank jump shot69
76
Q3 - 3:05HawksJeremy Lin makes two point running layup69
76
Q3 - 3:14WarriorsAndre Iguodala makes three point pullup jump shot (Quinn Cook assists)67
76
Q3 - 3:40HawksTaurean Prince makes two point stepback jump shot67
73
Q3 - 3:55Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Quinn Cook)65
73
Q3 - 3:55Hawks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Miles Plumlee, DeAndre' Bembry, Alex Poythress, Jeremy Lin)65
73
Q3 - 3:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)65
73
Q3 - 3:55HawksHawks defensive rebound65
73
Q3 - 3:57WarriorsQuinn Cook misses three point jump shot65
73
Q3 - 3:59WarriorsJonas Jerebko offensive rebound65
73
Q3 - 4:02WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot65
73
Q3 - 4:15HawksMiles Plumlee makes two point turnaround hook shot65
73
Q3 - 4:33WarriorsJonas Jerebko makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)63
73
Q3 - 4:51HawksTaurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Miles Plumlee assists)63
70
Q3 - 5:02Hawks lineup change (Vince Carter, Taurean Prince, Miles Plumlee, DeAndre' Bembry, Jeremy Lin)60
70
Q3 - 5:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
70
Q3 - 5:02HawksHawks defensive rebound60
70
Q3 - 5:04WarriorsKevin Durant misses three point jump shot60
70
Q3 - 5:05WarriorsQuinn Cook offensive rebound60
70
Q3 - 5:10WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point stepback jump shot60
70
Q3 - 5:30WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound60
70
Q3 - 5:34HawksKevin Huerter misses two point jump shot60
70
Q3 - 5:43Hawks lineup change (Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, Miles Plumlee, DeAndre' Bembry, Jeremy Lin)60
70
Q3 - 5:43Hawks 60 second timeout60
70
Q3 - 5:46WarriorsDamian Jones makes two point cutting dunk (Kevin Durant assists)60
70
Q3 - 5:54WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound60
68
Q3 - 5:56HawksOmari Spellman misses three point jump shot60
68
Q3 - 6:10WarriorsJonas Jerebko makes three point pullup jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)60
68
Q3 - 6:22HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)60
65
Q3 - 6:22HawksOmari Spellman offensive rebound60
65
Q3 - 6:23HawksDamian Jones blocks Kevin Huerter's two point jump shot60
65
Q3 - 6:46WarriorsDamian Jones turnover (offensive foul)60
65
Q3 - 6:46WarriorsDamian Jones offensive foul (Kent Bazemore draws the foul)60
65
Q3 - 6:49HawksJeremy Lin personal foul (Damian Jones draws the foul)60
65
Q3 - 7:00WarriorsKevin Durant defensive rebound60
65
Q3 - 7:01HawksVince Carter misses two point stepback jump shot60
65
Q3 - 7:09WarriorsKevin Durant personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)60
65
Q3 - 7:23Hawks lineup change (Omari Spellman, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, Kent Bazemore, Jeremy Lin)60
65
Q3 - 7:23Hawks 60 second timeout60
65
Q3 - 7:23WarriorsQuinn Cook makes three point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)60
65
Q3 - 7:31WarriorsDamian Jones defensive rebound60
62
Q3 - 7:34HawksTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot60
62
Q3 - 7:49WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Quinn Cook assists)60
62
Q3 - 7:51WarriorsDamian Jones offensive rebound60
59
Q3 - 7:56WarriorsQuinn Cook misses two point pullup jump shot60
59
Q3 - 8:05WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound60
59
Q3 - 8:06HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot60
59
Q3 - 8:13HawksOmari Spellman defensive rebound60
59
Q3 - 8:17WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot60
59
Q3 - 8:31HawksKent Bazemore makes two point driving dunk60
59
Q3 - 8:33Jump ball. Alex Len vs. Damian Jones (Kent Bazemore gains possession)58
59
Q3 - 8:36HawksHawks offensive rebound58
59
Q3 - 8:37HawksKent Bazemore misses two point driving layup58
59
Q3 - 8:53WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point stepback jump shot58
59
Q3 - 9:02WarriorsKlay Thompson makes flagrant free throw 2 of 258
57
Q3 - 9:02WarriorsKlay Thompson makes flagrant free throw 1 of 258
56
Q3 - 9:02Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)58
55
Q3 - 9:02HawksAlex Len flagrant 1 (Klay Thompson draws the foul)58
55
Q3 - 9:04HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Klay Thompson steals)58
55
Q3 - 9:14WarriorsQuinn Cook makes two point driving layup (Jonas Jerebko assists)58
55
Q3 - 9:35HawksAlex Len makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)58
53
Q3 - 9:46WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jonas Jerebko assists)56
53
Q3 - 10:02HawksKent Bazemore makes two point driving floating jump shot56
51
Q3 - 10:12HawksAlex Len defensive rebound54
51
Q3 - 10:13WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot54
51
Q3 - 10:25HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)54
51
Q3 - 10:53WarriorsQuinn Cook makes two point pullup jump shot (Damian Jones assists)54
51
Q3 - 11:12HawksAlex Len makes two point layup (Trae Young assists)54
49
Q3 - 11:18HawksKent Bazemore defensive rebound52
49
Q3 - 11:19WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point layup52
49
Q3 - 11:25HawksOmari Spellman turnover (kicked ball violation)52
49
Q3 - 11:34HawksOmari Spellman defensive rebound52
49
Q3 - 11:36WarriorsKevin Durant misses three point jump shot52
49
Q3 - 11:38Warriors 60 second timeout52
49
Q3 - 11:42WarriorsDamian Jones offensive rebound52
49
Q3 - 11:43WarriorsQuinn Cook misses two point jump shot52
49
Q3 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Damian Jones, Klay Thompson, Jonas Jerebko, Kevin Durant, Quinn Cook)52
49
Q3 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Omari Spellman, Alex Len, Trae Young, Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore)52
49
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
49
Q2 - 0:01.7WarriorsAndre Iguodala defensive rebound52
49
Q2 - 0:04.0HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot52
49
Q2 - 0:10.0Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Jordan Bell)52
49
Q2 - 0:10.0WarriorsJordan Bell turnover (out of bounds step)52
49
Q2 - 0:29.9HawksVince Carter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)52
49
Q2 - 0:36.1WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)49
49
Q2 - 0:54.8HawksTrae Young makes two point driving reverse layup (Vince Carter assists)49
47
Q2 - 1:00HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound47
47
Q2 - 1:01WarriorsAndre Iguodala misses two point hook shot47
47
Q2 - 1:21HawksVince Carter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
47
Q2 - 1:26Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant, Jordan Bell, Quinn Cook)47
47
Q2 - 1:26Hawks 60 second timeout47
47
Q2 - 1:26WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point layup (Andre Iguodala assists)47
47
Q2 - 1:30HawksKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Kevon Looney steals)47
45
Q2 - 1:35WarriorsKevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)47
45
Q2 - 1:52HawksTaurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)47
45
Q2 - 1:57HawksVince Carter offensive rebound44
45
Q2 - 1:59HawksVince Carter misses three point jump shot44
45
Q2 - 2:12WarriorsQuinn Cook makes two point layup44
45
Q2 - 2:20WarriorsQuinn Cook offensive rebound44
43
Q2 - 2:21WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie misses two point tip layup44
43
Q2 - 2:21WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie offensive rebound44
43
Q2 - 2:22WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot44
43
Q2 - 2:29WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie defensive rebound44
43
Q2 - 2:31HawksKevon Looney blocks Trae Young's two point layup44
43
Q2 - 2:36HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound44
43
Q2 - 2:37WarriorsQuinn Cook misses two point jump shot44
43
Q2 - 2:42WarriorsQuinn Cook defensive rebound44
43
Q2 - 2:43HawksTrae Young misses two point floating jump shot44
43
Q2 - 2:56WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 244
43
Q2 - 2:56WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 244
42
Q2 - 2:56HawksTrae Young personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)44
41
Q2 - 3:06WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie defensive rebound44
41
Q2 - 3:07HawksAlex Len misses regular free throw 1 of 144
41
Q2 - 3:07WarriorsKevon Looney shooting foul (Alex Len draws the foul)44
41
Q2 - 3:07HawksAlex Len makes two point cutting layup (Taurean Prince assists)44
41
Q2 - 3:23Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Quinn Cook)42
41
Q2 - 3:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)42
41
Q2 - 3:23HawksHawks defensive rebound42
41
Q2 - 3:25WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot42
41
Q2 - 3:36HawksAlex Len makes two point layup (Vince Carter assists)42
41
Q2 - 3:54WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie makes three point jump shot (Quinn Cook assists)40
41
Q2 - 4:17HawksTaurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)40
38
Q2 - 4:22WarriorsQuinn Cook turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)37
38
Q2 - 4:40HawksKevin Huerter makes two point layup (Vince Carter assists)37
38
Q2 - 4:48HawksVince Carter defensive rebound35
38
Q2 - 4:49WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point stepback jump shot35
38
Q2 - 5:00HawksTrae Young makes two point driving finger roll layup35
38
Q2 - 5:13WarriorsQuinn Cook makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)33
38
Q2 - 5:30HawksVince Carter makes two point driving hook shot33
36
Q2 - 5:46Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Quinn Cook)31
36
Q2 - 5:46Hawks 60 second timeout31
36
Q2 - 5:49WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point jump shot31
36
Q2 - 5:54WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound31
33
Q2 - 5:56HawksJordan Bell blocks Trae Young's two point jump shot31
33
Q2 - 6:04HawksVince Carter defensive rebound31
33
Q2 - 6:05WarriorsJordan Bell misses two point jump shot31
33
Q2 - 6:24HawksTaurean Prince makes three point pullup jump shot31
33
Q2 - 6:38HawksVince Carter defensive rebound28
33
Q2 - 6:39WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point jump shot28
33
Q2 - 6:53WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound28
33
Q2 - 6:55HawksVince Carter misses three point jump shot28
33
Q2 - 7:00WarriorsQuinn Cook personal foul (Alex Len draws the foul)28
33
Q2 - 7:13WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point floating jump shot (Shaun Livingston assists)28
33
Q2 - 7:19Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Alfonzo McKinnie, Jordan Bell, Shaun Livingston, Quinn Cook)28
31
Q2 - 7:19Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, Trae Young, Taurean Prince)28
31
Q2 - 7:19Warriors 60 second timeout28
31
Q2 - 7:19HawksKent Bazemore personal foul (Shaun Livingston draws the foul)28
31
Q2 - 7:24WarriorsJordan Bell defensive rebound28
31
Q2 - 7:26HawksKent Bazemore misses three point jump shot28
31
Q2 - 7:34HawksTrae Young defensive rebound28
31
Q2 - 7:35WarriorsShaun Livingston misses two point turnaround jump shot28
31
Q2 - 7:43WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound28
31
Q2 - 7:45HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot28
31
Q2 - 7:56HawksVince Carter defensive rebound28
31
Q2 - 7:58WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot28
31
Q2 - 8:11WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound28
31
Q2 - 8:12HawksAlex Len misses two point floating jump shot28
31
Q2 - 8:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
31
Q2 - 8:34WarriorsJordan Bell makes two point driving dunk (Andre Iguodala assists)28
31
Q2 - 8:51HawksAlex Len makes regular free throw 2 of 228
29
Q2 - 8:51Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Vince Carter, Trae Young, Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore)27
29
Q2 - 8:51WarriorsAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Alex Len draws the foul)27
29
Q2 - 8:51HawksAlex Len makes regular free throw 1 of 227
29
Q2 - 9:14WarriorsJonas Jerebko makes two point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)26
29
Q2 - 9:22HawksKent Bazemore personal foul (Klay Thompson draws the foul)26
27
Q2 - 9:34HawksHawks turnover (5-second violation)26
27
Q2 - 9:34Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Vince Carter, Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore, Jeremy Lin)26
27
Q2 - 9:34Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
27
Q2 - 9:34HawksHawks offensive rebound26
27
Q2 - 9:35HawksJordan Bell blocks Kent Bazemore's two point layup26
27
Q2 - 9:52WarriorsJordan Bell makes regular free throw 2 of 226
27
Q2 - 9:52Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Vince Carter, Kent Bazemore, DeAndre' Bembry, Jeremy Lin)26
26
Q2 - 9:52WarriorsJordan Bell makes regular free throw 1 of 226
26
Q2 - 9:52HawksAlex Len shooting foul (Jordan Bell draws the foul)26
25
Q2 - 10:04HawksAlex Poythress personal foul (Loose ball) (Jordan Bell draws the foul)26
25
Q2 - 10:04WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound26
25
Q2 - 10:07HawksJeremy Lin misses three point jump shot26
25
Q2 - 10:23WarriorsJonas Jerebko makes three point jump shot (Shaun Livingston assists)26
25
Q2 - 10:29WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound26
22
Q2 - 10:30HawksKent Bazemore misses two point driving finger roll layup26
22
Q2 - 10:36WarriorsJordan Bell makes two point tip layup26
22
Q2 - 10:42WarriorsJordan Bell offensive rebound26
20
Q2 - 10:43WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point jump shot26
20
Q2 - 10:54HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes regular free throw 1 of 126
20
Q2 - 10:54WarriorsJordan Bell shooting foul (DeAndre' Bembry draws the foul)25
20
Q2 - 10:54HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jeremy Lin assists)25
20
Q2 - 11:06WarriorsJonas Jerebko personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)23
20
Q2 - 11:13HawksJeremy Lin offensive rebound23
20
Q2 - 11:14HawksKent Bazemore misses two point running layup23
20
Q2 - 11:17WarriorsAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (DeAndre' Bembry steals)23
20
Q2 - 11:25WarriorsAndre Iguodala defensive rebound23
20
Q2 - 11:26HawksDeAndre' Bembry misses two point floating jump shot23
20
Q2 - 11:37HawksAlex Len defensive rebound23
20
Q2 - 11:38WarriorsJonas Jerebko misses two point tip layup23
20
Q2 - 11:38WarriorsJonas Jerebko offensive rebound23
20
Q2 - 11:39WarriorsShaun Livingston misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
20
Q2 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Klay Thompson, Jonas Jerebko, Jordan Bell, Shaun Livingston)23
20
Q2 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Alex Len, Kent Bazemore, DeAndre' Bembry, Alex Poythress, Jeremy Lin)23
20
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
20
Q1 - 0:00.1WarriorsKevon Looney offensive rebound23
20
Q1 - 0:03.9WarriorsKevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot23
20
Q1 - 0:11.6HawksKent Bazemore makes three point pullup bank jump shot23
20
Q1 - 0:29.2HawksKent Bazemore defensive rebound20
20
Q1 - 0:30.4WarriorsAndre Iguodala misses two point jump shot20
20
Q1 - 0:45.2HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes three point jump shot (Kent Bazemore assists)20
20
Q1 - 0:56.7HawksAlex Poythress defensive rebound17
20
Q1 - 0:58.0WarriorsShaun Livingston misses two point pullup jump shot17
20
Q1 - 1:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes regular free throw 2 of 217
20
Q1 - 1:16HawksDeAndre' Bembry makes regular free throw 1 of 216
20
Q1 - 1:16WarriorsKevin Durant personal foul (DeAndre' Bembry draws the foul)15
20
Q1 - 1:19WarriorsKevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lin steals)15
20
Q1 - 1:35HawksKent Bazemore makes two point bank jump shot (Jeremy Lin assists)15
20
Q1 - 1:53WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point jump shot13
20
Q1 - 2:01WarriorsKevin Durant defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 2:02HawksKevon Looney blocks Jeremy Lin's two point layup13
18
Q1 - 2:07WarriorsShaun Livingston personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)13
18
Q1 - 2:16WarriorsKevon Looney makes regular free throw 2 of 213
18
Q1 - 2:16WarriorsKevon Looney misses regular free throw 1 of 213
17
Q1 - 2:16HawksJeremy Lin shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)13
17
Q1 - 2:33Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Shaun Livingston)13
17
Q1 - 2:33Hawks lineup change (Omari Spellman, Kent Bazemore, DeAndre' Bembry, Alex Poythress, Jeremy Lin)13
17
Q1 - 2:33Hawks 60 second timeout13
17
Q1 - 2:33HawksKevin Huerter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
17
Q1 - 2:38HawksVince Carter defensive rebound13
17
Q1 - 2:39WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot13
17
Q1 - 2:55HawksJeremy Lin turnover (bad pass) (Alfonzo McKinnie steals)13
17
Q1 - 3:14WarriorsQuinn Cook makes three point pullup jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)13
17
Q1 - 3:28WarriorsAndre Iguodala defensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 3:30HawksKevin Durant blocks DeAndre' Bembry's three point jump shot13
14
Q1 - 3:52WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 213
14
Q1 - 3:52Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Quinn Cook)13
13
Q1 - 3:52Hawks lineup change (Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, Miles Plumlee, DeAndre' Bembry, Jeremy Lin)13
13
Q1 - 3:52WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 213
13
Q1 - 3:52HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)13
12
Q1 - 4:01WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 4:02HawksKevin Huerter misses two point jump shot13
12
Q1 - 4:21HawksTrae Young defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 4:22WarriorsQuinn Cook misses three point jump shot13
12
Q1 - 4:27HawksTrae Young turnover (lost ball) (Klay Thompson steals)13
12
Q1 - 4:33HawksTrae Young defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 4:34WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point fadeaway jump shot13
12
Q1 - 4:42WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 4:44HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot13
12
Q1 - 4:55WarriorsQuinn Cook turnover (lost ball) (Trae Young steals)13
12
Q1 - 5:05WarriorsKevin Durant defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 5:06HawksMiles Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 213
12
Q1 - 5:06HawksMiles Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 213
12
Q1 - 5:06WarriorsAlfonzo McKinnie shooting foul (Miles Plumlee draws the foul)12
12
Q1 - 5:15HawksTaurean Prince defensive rebound12
12
Q1 - 5:16WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point jump shot12
12
Q1 - 5:22Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Kevon Looney, Kevin Durant, Alfonzo McKinnie, Quinn Cook)12
12
Q1 - 5:35WarriorsKevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 112
12
Q1 - 5:35Hawks technical foul (Defensive three second)12
11
Q1 - 5:45HawksVince Carter makes three point jump shot (Taurean Prince assists)12
11
Q1 - 5:49HawksTaurean Prince defensive rebound9
11
Q1 - 5:51WarriorsJonas Jerebko misses three point jump shot9
11
Q1 - 6:05HawksVince Carter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)9
11
Q1 - 6:20WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot6
11
Q1 - 6:36Hawks lineup change (Vince Carter, Kevin Huerter, Trae Young, Taurean Prince, Miles Plumlee)6
9
Q1 - 6:36Warriors 60 second timeout6
9
Q1 - 6:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
9
Q1 - 6:37HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Damian Jones steals)6
9
Q1 - 6:51WarriorsKevin Durant makes two point driving layup (Quinn Cook assists)6
9
Q1 - 7:14WarriorsQuinn Cook defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 7:15HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot6
7
Q1 - 7:26WarriorsJonas Jerebko makes three point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)6
7
Q1 - 7:38HawksAlex Len makes two point dunk (Taurean Prince assists)6
4
Q1 - 7:45HawksTaurean Prince defensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 7:47WarriorsJonas Jerebko misses three point jump shot4
4
Q1 - 7:50WarriorsJonas Jerebko offensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 7:52WarriorsQuinn Cook misses three point jump shot4
4
Q1 - 8:13HawksTaurean Prince makes two point stepback jump shot4
4
Q1 - 8:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
4
Q1 - 8:23HawksHawks defensive rebound2
4
Q1 - 8:23WarriorsJonas Jerebko misses two point tip layup2
4
Q1 - 8:24WarriorsJonas Jerebko offensive rebound2
4
Q1 - 8:26WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot2
4
Q1 - 8:37WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound2
4
Q1 - 8:38HawksAlex Len misses regular free throw 2 of 22
4
Q1 - 8:38HawksAlex Len misses regular free throw 1 of 22
4
Q1 - 8:38WarriorsDamian Jones shooting foul (Alex Len draws the foul)2
4
Q1 - 8:40HawksAlex Len offensive rebound2
4
Q1 - 8:41HawksTaurean Prince misses two point jump shot2
4
Q1 - 8:54WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 22
4
Q1 - 8:54WarriorsKevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 22
3
Q1 - 8:54HawksAlex Len shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - 9:06HawksAlex Len turnover (traveling)2
2
Q1 - 9:08HawksAlex Len offensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:10HawksKent Bazemore misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 9:21HawksTaurean Prince defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:22WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point stepback jump shot2
2
Q1 - 9:28HawksTaurean Prince personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - 9:33Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
2
Q1 - 9:34WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:37HawksTrae Young misses two point layup2
2
Q1 - 9:41WarriorsKlay Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)2
2
Q1 - 9:41WarriorsDamian Jones defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:44HawksKent Bazemore misses two point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:08HawksTrae Young defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:09WarriorsKevin Durant misses two point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:18HawksKent Bazemore turnover (lost ball) (Klay Thompson steals)2
2
Q1 - 10:24WarriorsKevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Kent Bazemore steals)2
2
Q1 - 10:51HawksKent Bazemore makes two point driving reverse layup (Trae Young assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:02HawksAlex Len defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:04WarriorsQuinn Cook misses three point running pullup jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:11WarriorsJonas Jerebko defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:12HawksOmari Spellman misses two point turnaround jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:24WarriorsJonas Jerebko personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)0
2
Q1 - 11:33WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Damian Jones assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:47WarriorsKevin Durant defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:49HawksOmari Spellman misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Alex Len vs. Damian Jones (Trae Young gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Damian Jones, Klay Thompson, Jonas Jerebko, Kevin Durant, Quinn Cook)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Omari Spellman, Alex Len, Trae Young, Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore)0
0
ClockTeamEventATLGSW
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.05 52.6%
GSW
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
19
32
59%
GSW
11
18
61%
Midrange
ATL
9
25
36%
GSW
16
46
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
GSW
12
18.0
27
44%
67%
Free Throws
ATL
11
15
73%
GSW
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2273%11.0 / 15
K. Bazemore1853%9.0 / 17
A. Len1470%7.0 / 10
D. Bembry1381%6.5 / 8
V. Carter1179%5.5 / 7
J. Lin1056%5.0 / 9
M. Plumlee550%2.5 / 5
T. Young417%2.0 / 12
A. Poythress440%2.0 / 5
K. Huerter225%1.0 / 4
O. Spellman0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2952%14.5 / 28
K. Thompson2460%12.0 / 20
Q. Cook1850%9.0 / 18
J. Jerebko1470%7.0 / 10
A. Iguodala880%4.0 / 5
J. Bell660%3.0 / 5
K. Looney467%2.0 / 3
A. McKinnie350%1.5 / 3
D. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
S. Livingston217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
86
+12
-14
98
GSW
89
+14
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.05 52.6%
GSW
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
115.5
ATL 103.0
GSW 107.8 +4.8
Pace
103.9
101.3
ATL 108.8 +14.5
GSW 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
13.9
ATL 13.2 −2.0
GSW 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
56.4%
ATL 51.7% +2.2%
GSW 49.5%
TO %
15.8%
13.5%
ATL 15.1%
GSW 11.5% −3.6%
ORB %
24.8%
22.5%
ATL 22.2%
GSW 28.9% +6.7%
FTrt
25.5
22.7
ATL 16.9
GSW 23.1 +6.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
66.8%
ATL 62.5%
GSW 71.8% +9.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.4%
ATL 9.0% +1.2%
GSW 7.8%
BLK %
9.2%
11.3%
ATL 3.1%
GSW 10.5% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
58.3%
ATL 52.6%
GSW 53.4% +0.8%
Rim FG%
59.0%
66.3%
ATL 59.4%
GSW 61.1% +1.7%
Mid FG%
37.9%
45.8%
ATL 36.0% +1.2%
GSW 34.8%
3P %
35.2%
38.5%
ATL 37.5%
GSW 44.4% +6.9%
FT %
75.2%
80.1%
ATL 73.3%
GSW 95.2% +21.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
29.6%
ATL 36.0% +16.2%
GSW 19.8%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
32.0%
ATL 28.1% −22.5%
GSW 50.5%
3P Att. %
40.3%
38.4%
ATL 36.0% +6.3%
GSW 29.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsATLGSW
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points103110
Rebounds4248
Assists2528
Steals98
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (3)13 (0)
Fouls1820
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (6)35 (5)
Field Goals40-8939-91
At-the-Rim FG19-3211-18
Midrange FG9-2516-46
2-Point FG28-5727-64
3-Point FG12-3212-27
Free Throws11-1520-21
Fast Break Pts225
2nd Chance Pts915
Points in Paint4834
Pts off Turnovers1023
Bench Points4523
Biggest Lead615

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
39.4
22
73%
4
4
0
0
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
4-7
57%
#25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25
32.0
14
70%
7
1
0
0
1
5
2
5
2-5
40%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 20
27.5
4
17%
5
9
3
0
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-5
0%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 29
26.8
18
53%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 21
14.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
20.6
4
40%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
20.5
10
56%
3
4
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
17.4
11
79%
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
16.5
13
81%
1
1
3
1
1
2
1
0
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
#3 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 20
13.7
2
25%
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
11.3
5
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#2 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Rehab from Tibial Stress Syndrome, Left Leg
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Soreness
#14 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
42
25
9
2
14
18
10
32
11-15
73%
28-57
49%
12-32
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.