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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets
115
10Pelicans
125
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
39
31
24
5
4
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-8
43%
55%
6-9
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
35
30
20
11
2
0
1
1
4
3
8
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
55%
4-6
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
34
28
25
10
8
1
1
0
1
3
7
3-4
75%
8-12
5-9
67%
56%
2-8
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.7
29
30
11
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
1-5
20%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.8
22
25
7
1
3
0
1
2
1
1
0
1-3
33%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-3
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
34
27
13
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
48%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
20
22
7
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
14
18
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
13
14
4
5
1
3
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
7
0
0-1
55%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
4
0
0-1
52%
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
3
0
0-1
48%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
2
0
0-0
52%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.8
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.4
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.7
38
39
40
8
8
0
2
1
0
4
4
20-21
95%
10-19
9-17
53%
53%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 29.7
36
32
13
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.8
34
29
20
10
2
0
1
3
1
0
10
5-5
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
3-7
43%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.4
32
36
19
3
8
3
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
6-14
6-11
43%
53%
2-5
40%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.4
24
19
6
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-3
67%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
27
26
21
10
3
3
1
1
1
4
6
5-7
71%
8-12
5-9
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
23
24
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
1-3
33%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.7
22
16
3
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.5
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 22.2
8
0
1-2
53%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.0
6
0
0-1
43%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.7
5
0
0-0
42%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 22.9
3
0
1-1
51%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.7
Trevon Bluiett
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.