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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 19, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets39%11498
4Bucks61%118104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.7
36
29
17
8
9
0
1
1
5
2
6
1-2
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
49%
2-5
40%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
35
34
14
0
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
33
30
20
5
5
1
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
55%
3-8
38%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
29
31
6
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
54%
1-5
20%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.8
29
23
8
9
2
1
1
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-4
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
25
30
10
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
22
16
12
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
4-7
57%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
16
21
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-4
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
15
14
5
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
5
0
0-1
53%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
2
0
0-0
49%
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
2
0
0-0
46%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
52%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.6
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.4
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 24.0
39
33
29
12
6
2
1
0
4
3
9
3-6
50%
13-19
8-14
68%
57%
0-6
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.3
37
32
13
6
5
2
1
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
1-8
13%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.9
35
29
23
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
3
4-9
44%
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
3-4
75%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 30.6
33
28
8
10
0
0
0
3
1
1
9
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
2-7
29%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
31
28
13
8
3
0
1
0
3
1
7
2-3
67%
4-9
4-7
44%
52%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
19
17
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
2-2
100%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 27.0
18
16
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
18
22
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
6
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 21.7
4
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jaylen Morris
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
6
0
1-1
49%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.1
4
0
0-1
49%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 28.2
3
0
0-0
39%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.7
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 27.9
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
Trevon Duval
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.