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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 23, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat63%112103
28Bulls37%10796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.0
34.0
29.6
8
44%
2
4
4
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
2-8
25%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
33.8
34.3
27
80%
2
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
49%
5-9
56%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
32.1
34.0
10
36%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
1-6
17%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
26.6
20.5
3
19%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
55%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
21.6
28.4
18
56%
10
1
1
1
4
1
4
6
2-7
29%
8-13
6-11
62%
56%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
28.8
22.3
10
53%
10
1
1
1
1
3
0
10
5-8
63%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
26.4
16.3
14
56%
13
2
0
0
1
2
5
8
8-10
80%
3-8
2-4
38%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.8
24.1
20.1
10
50%
4
2
2
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
12.6
9.1
3
31%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
59%
0-3
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 21.8
12.4
0
1-3
52%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
6.3
0
0-1
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.5
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.5
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.6
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
40.1
29.5
5
31%
5
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
55%
1-4
25%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.6
39.6
31.4
27
76%
13
2
3
1
1
4
2
11
4-4
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
5-10
50%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
38.9
33.6
23
53%
10
1
1
1
1
3
3
7
7-8
88%
8-14
6-11
57%
52%
0-4
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
35.4
34.6
24
44%
4
9
0
1
1
3
0
4
1-1
100%
10-22
7-13
45%
49%
1-5
20%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 19.6
13.6
22.4
6
80%
4
2
0
1
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-1
4-7
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 30.6
25.3
13.6
9
48%
6
1
0
0
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 22.1
18.2
23.5
0
0%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.1
17.1
18.8
2
13%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 26.4
6.0
11.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
5.8
10.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
6.5
0
1-2
49%
Rawle Alkins
G · 6'5" 225 · 21.1
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 25.0
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 22.9
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.8
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.