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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets52%112113
17Trail Blazers48%111112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
36
15
27
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
5-11
2-4
45%
54%
4-10
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.8
36
24
22
10
4
4
1
0
3
5
5
2-2
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
51%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.8
36
35
10
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
1-9
5-11
11%
50%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
32
26
15
6
8
1
1
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
7-10
5-8
70%
55%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
29
28
9
11
1
0
1
1
2
2
9
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
2-2
100%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
30
25
16
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
14
19
3
3
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
13
24
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
13
21
8
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
53%
2-4
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
1
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-1
0%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
8
0
1-1
45%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
4
0
0-1
51%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.4
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.8
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
40
36
15
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
6-12
38%
49%
3-8
38%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
38
35
33
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
3
5-5
100%
14-17
6-12
82%
49%
0-4
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
29
28
20
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
4-4
100%
5-5
1-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
29
27
17
11
1
2
1
2
1
5
6
3-5
60%
7-14
5-10
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
14
14
2
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
27
26
2
7
4
1
1
1
4
0
7
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.8
26
16
11
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
17
15
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.0
11
19
5
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
10
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 24.7
8
0
1-1
52%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
3
0
0-1
47%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
43%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.5
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.