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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nets44%11488
22Wizards56%116102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
33
23
14
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
3-5
60%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.7
28
29
8
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 23.9
28
28
11
8
0
1
1
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
49%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 20.6
25
30
6
8
0
0
1
0
5
2
6
0-1
0%
3-4
5-8
75%
60%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.8
25
34
8
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
6-12
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
25
17
8
2
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
1-7
14%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 32.3
21
25
10
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 33.4
16
17
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 20.8
14
4
8
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.5
10
15
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 23.1
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Dzanan Musa
G · 6'9" 195 · 19.6
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.0
4
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 24.3
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 27.2
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 25.8
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 25.4
43
30
22
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
6-7
86%
8-14
5-9
57%
53%
0-3
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 25.5
38
29
7
11
2
3
1
0
0
1
10
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
56%
0-3
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
37
29
30
5
9
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-5
60%
9-18
5-10
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
26
21
7
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.3
19
15
2
7
2
1
0
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
29
27
20
7
2
3
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
7-8
3-6
88%
52%
2-4
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
25
24
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
22
25
5
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 19.3
2
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 32.1
7
0
1-1
56%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
7
0
1-2
50%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.7
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 27.7
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.3
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.