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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 3, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets32%109106
2Raptors68%116103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.8
41
34
21
7
8
0
1
0
7
1
6
1-1
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
36
29
23
11
15
2
1
0
2
4
7
7-8
88%
8-12
5-9
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.8
30
30
6
8
3
1
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
29
28
15
5
0
2
1
0
3
2
3
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
3-7
43%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
9
27
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
4-7
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
27
18
15
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
3-3
100%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
22
27
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
19
17
4
8
1
2
1
2
2
3
5
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
17
9
8
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
2-3
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
12
17
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
5
0
0-1
45%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
2
0
0-0
51%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.8
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.4
35
35
27
8
2
0
2
0
3
2
6
6-6
100%
9-12
7-13
75%
53%
1-7
14%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 32.7
34
23
5
3
11
1
1
3
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
1-6
17%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
31
30
15
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-5
5-10
100%
56%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
31
30
9
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
3-7
43%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
29
33
14
6
7
2
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
7-8
5-8
88%
62%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
18
18
8
10
0
0
0
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-6
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 24.8
18
25
2
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-5
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 31.7
16
11
8
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.6
15
16
9
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
1-1
100%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
12
18
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
61%
2-3
67%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 28.3
3
0
0-0
49%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 28.5
3
0
1-1
53%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
48%
Jordan Loyd
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 25.9
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.