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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Spurs29%110113
15Lakers71%117121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
41.3
29.1
32
52%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
8-8
100%
12-26
7-15
46%
48%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.3
35.4
23.8
31
67%
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
5-5
100%
10-16
3-7
63%
48%
2-5
40%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
33.9
18.7
2
50%
8
1
2
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.4
32.1
27.4
21
61%
9
1
1
0
1
2
3
6
7-7
100%
7-14
6-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
21.4
22.0
2
14%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.3
20.5
21.0
6
38%
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
2-7
29%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
18.6
24.5
2
20%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.1
15.2
16.4
6
75%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
61%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.1
13.7
22.6
9
90%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
3-5
60%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.7
8.0
17.6
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.7
8.9
0
1-1
47%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.7
7.8
0
1-3
48%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.2
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
39.7
31.6
42
71%
5
6
2
1
0
2
0
5
9-13
69%
12-17
8-12
71%
61%
3-7
43%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.1
39.6
28.5
14
54%
4
9
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.4
38.6
30.7
22
50%
9
5
0
1
0
1
1
8
5-7
71%
4-10
4-8
40%
56%
3-9
33%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
19.2
20.3
8
100%
4
0
0
1
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
64%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.3
5.4
31.3
5
75%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-3
33%
2-2
5-11
100%
51%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
28.3
21.8
12
68%
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.2
28.1
19.1
2
114%
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
9
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
63%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
13.3
20.1
6
60%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
2-5
40%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.2
12.5
9.2
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.5
11.6
5.5
4
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
3.6
8.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.6
4.9
0
1-1
55%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.7
3.4
0
1-1
54%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.1
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.5
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 24.8
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.