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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets
107
15Hornets
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.8
37
38
20
5
7
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
8-16
6-13
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
37
30
15
10
2
1
1
2
0
2
8
2-3
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
54%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
33
31
16
11
6
1
1
2
4
4
7
4-5
80%
6-12
6-10
50%
56%
0-6
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.8
19
29
16
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
8-9
89%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
19
18
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
56%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
33
25
16
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
4-10
40%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
25
21
12
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
51%
2-4
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
20
18
7
7
2
0
1
2
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
58%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
19
16
5
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
53%
1-5
20%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
3
0
0-1
47%
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
2
0
0-0
48%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
54%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.9
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.8
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.7
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 28.6
36
32
21
6
8
1
1
1
5
0
6
11-12
92%
2-3
5-10
67%
48%
2-8
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 32.5
33
22
14
10
2
1
1
0
1
4
6
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
51%
3-7
43%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
32
24
8
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
55%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 30.0
26
29
4
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.5
21
31
7
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.6
22
19
19
4
3
2
0
1
1
3
1
6-8
75%
5-12
3-7
42%
48%
1-2
50%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
22
14
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
3-8
38%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 25.7
16
20
11
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 20.7
16
21
7
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 25.2
15
21
6
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
6
0
0-1
46%
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 23.3
6
0
1-1
46%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
5
0
1-2
53%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 26.3
J.P. Macura
G · 6'5" 203 · 23.5
Joe Chealey
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.