Final Win Prob. pScore
2037%110
105
1063%114
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
105.010098.0
LAL logo Lakers
106.9101104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.105
108
Q4 - 0:00.0LakersLeBron James defensive rebound105
108
Q4 - 0:03.0HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot105
108
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound105
108
Q4 - 0:07.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot105
108
Q4 - 0:21.0Heat 60 second timeout105
108
Q4 - 0:21.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)105
108
Q4 - 0:21.0HeatHeat offensive rebound105
108
Q4 - 0:21.0HeatLonzo Ball blocks Rodney McGruder's two point layup105
108
Q4 - 0:22.0Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)105
108
Q4 - 0:22.0Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)105
108
Q4 - 0:22.0Heat 60 second timeout105
108
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
108
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
107
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Take) (LeBron James draws the foul)105
106
Q4 - 0:22.0LakersLeBron James defensive rebound105
106
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot105
106
Q4 - 0:28.0LakersJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)105
106
Q4 - 0:29.0LakersJosh Hart offensive rebound105
106
Q4 - 0:34.0LakersLeBron James misses two point step back jump shot105
106
Q4 - 0:56.0LakersTyson Chandler defensive rebound105
106
Q4 - 0:59.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot105
106
Q4 - 1:20HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound105
106
Q4 - 1:23LakersLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot105
106
Q4 - 1:38HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
106
Q4 - 1:38HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
106
Q4 - 1:38LakersLonzo Ball shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)103
106
Q4 - 1:55HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound103
106
Q4 - 1:58LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 2103
106
Q4 - 1:58LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
106
Q4 - 1:58HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)103
105
Q4 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)103
105
Q4 - 2:36LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)103
105
Q4 - 2:53HeatJosh Richardson makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)103
103
Q4 - 3:03HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound100
103
Q4 - 3:09LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - 3:13LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound100
103
Q4 - 3:20LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - 3:44HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)100
103
Q4 - 3:55Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Tyson Chandler, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)98
103
Q4 - 3:55Lakers 60 second timeout98
103
Q4 - 3:55Heat 60 second timeout98
103
Q4 - 3:55LakersLance Stephenson makes regular free throw 2 of 298
103
Q4 - 3:55Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr.)98
102
Q4 - 3:55LakersLance Stephenson makes regular free throw 1 of 298
102
Q4 - 3:55HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Lance Stephenson draws the foul)98
101
Q4 - 4:01LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound98
101
Q4 - 4:04HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving jump shot98
101
Q4 - 4:21LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot98
101
Q4 - 4:36HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)98
98
Q4 - 5:01LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)96
98
Q4 - 5:17LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound96
95
Q4 - 5:20HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot96
95
Q4 - 5:37LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk96
95
Q4 - 5:49Lakers 60 second timeout96
93
Q4 - 5:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)96
93
Q4 - 5:49LakersLeBron James defensive rebound96
93
Q4 - 5:51HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot96
93
Q4 - 6:00HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound96
93
Q4 - 6:04HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot96
93
Q4 - 6:24LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)96
93
Q4 - 6:31LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound96
90
Q4 - 6:34HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot96
90
Q4 - 6:49HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound96
90
Q4 - 6:51LakersLeBron James misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
90
Q4 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)96
90
Q4 - 7:31Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Lance Stephenson, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)93
90
Q4 - 7:31Heat 60 second timeout93
90
Q4 - 7:33HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound93
90
Q4 - 7:36LakersJosh Hart misses two point driving layup93
90
Q4 - 7:46HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)93
90
Q4 - 7:57LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point putback layup93
90
Q4 - 7:57LakersKyle Kuzma offensive rebound93
88
Q4 - 8:02LakersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot93
88
Q4 - 8:15HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)93
88
Q4 - 8:32HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 8:35LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 290
88
Q4 - 8:35LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 290
88
Q4 - 8:35HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)90
88
Q4 - 8:52LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 8:55HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving jump shot90
88
Q4 - 9:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 9:11LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot90
88
Q4 - 9:20HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 290
88
Q4 - 9:20Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Lance Stephenson, Kyle Kuzma)89
88
Q4 - 9:20HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 289
88
Q4 - 9:20LakersLance Stephenson shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)89
88
Q4 - 9:27LakersLance Stephenson turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)89
88
Q4 - 9:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback dunk89
88
Q4 - 9:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound87
88
Q4 - 9:43HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot87
88
Q4 - 9:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound87
88
Q4 - 9:48HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot87
88
Q4 - 10:11LakersLance Stephenson makes two point finger roll layup (Tyson Chandler assists)87
88
Q4 - 10:12LakersTyson Chandler offensive rebound87
86
Q4 - 10:14LakersJosh Hart misses two point turnaround jump shot87
86
Q4 - 10:41HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving hook shot87
86
Q4 - 10:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound85
86
Q4 - 10:49LakersSvi Mykhailiuk misses two point jump shot85
86
Q4 - 10:59HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Svi Mykhailiuk draws the foul)85
86
Q4 - 11:03HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Take) (Lance Stephenson draws the foul)85
86
Q4 - 11:03HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Lance Stephenson steals)85
86
Q4 - 11:10HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound85
86
Q4 - 11:13LakersDwyane Wade blocks Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's two point driving layup85
86
Q4 - 11:32HeatDwyane Wade makes two point finger roll layup85
86
Q4 - 11:47LakersLance Stephenson makes two point floating jump shot83
86
Q4 - 12:00Lakers lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Josh Hart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tyson Chandler, Lance Stephenson)83
84
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
84
Q3 - 0:01.0LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound83
84
Q3 - 0:02.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point turnaround jump shot83
84
Q3 - 0:09.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound83
84
Q3 - 0:10.0LakersLonzo Ball misses two point putback dunk83
84
Q3 - 0:10.0LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound83
84
Q3 - 0:12.0LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot83
84
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)83
84
Q3 - 0:36.0LakersLonzo Ball makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)83
84
Q3 - 0:42.0HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 283
81
Q3 - 0:42.0Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)82
81
Q3 - 0:42.0HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 282
81
Q3 - 0:42.0LakersTyson Chandler shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)81
81
Q3 - 0:56.0LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Tyson Chandler assists)81
81
Q3 - 1:14HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)81
78
Q3 - 1:20LakersLonzo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)78
78
Q3 - 1:25HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (Lonzo Ball steals)78
78
Q3 - 1:31LakersLance Stephenson turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)78
78
Q3 - 1:34LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound78
78
Q3 - 1:36LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot78
78
Q3 - 1:51HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)78
78
Q3 - 1:57HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound75
78
Q3 - 1:59LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point layup75
78
Q3 - 2:13Lakers lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tyson Chandler, Lance Stephenson, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)75
78
Q3 - 2:13Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)75
78
Q3 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
78
Q3 - 2:29LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving jump shot75
78
Q3 - 2:46HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)75
76
Q3 - 3:04LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)73
76
Q3 - 3:18HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot73
73
Q3 - 3:42LakersLonzo Ball makes two point dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)71
73
Q3 - 3:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Lonzo Ball steals)71
71
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
71
Q3 - 4:08LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot71
71
Q3 - 4:13LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound71
71
Q3 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot71
71
Q3 - 4:29HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound71
71
Q3 - 4:31LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot71
71
Q3 - 4:53HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot71
71
Q3 - 4:59HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound69
71
Q3 - 5:03LakersLeBron James misses two point jump shot69
71
Q3 - 5:17HeatJustise Winslow makes two point putback layup69
71
Q3 - 5:17HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound67
71
Q3 - 5:24HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot67
71
Q3 - 5:38Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tyson Chandler, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)67
71
Q3 - 5:38Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, James Johnson)67
71
Q3 - 5:38Heat 60 second timeout67
71
Q3 - 5:40LakersJaVale McGee makes regular free throw 2 of 267
71
Q3 - 5:40LakersJaVale McGee misses regular free throw 1 of 267
70
Q3 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)67
70
Q3 - 5:43LakersLeBron James defensive rebound67
70
Q3 - 5:46HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot67
70
Q3 - 5:57LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot67
70
Q3 - 6:06HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Lonzo Ball draws the foul)67
67
Q3 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup67
67
Q3 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
67
Q3 - 6:15HeatJosh Richardson misses two point layup65
67
Q3 - 6:29LakersLonzo Ball makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)65
67
Q3 - 6:34LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound65
65
Q3 - 6:37HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot65
65
Q3 - 6:56LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 265
65
Q3 - 6:56LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 265
64
Q3 - 6:56HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)65
63
Q3 - 7:06LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound65
63
Q3 - 7:09HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot65
63
Q3 - 7:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)65
63
Q3 - 7:14HeatHeat offensive rebound65
63
Q3 - 7:15HeatJaVale McGee blocks Bam Adebayo's two point putback layup65
63
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
63
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup65
63
Q3 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
63
Q3 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow misses two point turnaround jump shot65
63
Q3 - 7:30HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound65
63
Q3 - 7:33LakersJaVale McGee misses two point jump shot65
63
Q3 - 7:42HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)65
63
Q3 - 7:47HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
63
Q3 - 8:07LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot62
63
Q3 - 8:28Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, James Johnson)62
61
Q3 - 8:28Lakers 60 second timeout62
61
Q3 - 8:30HeatRodney McGruder makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)62
61
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 8:41LakersLonzo Ball misses two point turnaround jump shot60
61
Q3 - 8:59LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 9:03HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 9:13LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround jump shot60
61
Q3 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (JaVale McGee draws the foul)60
61
Q3 - 9:37LakersLakers defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 9:38HeatJosh Richardson misses two point layup60
61
Q3 - 9:39HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 9:42LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 9:56LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 10:04HeatJaVale McGee blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup60
61
Q3 - 10:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
61
Q3 - 10:26HeatHeat defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 10:26LakersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 10:30LakersLeBron James defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 10:33HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 10:49LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)60
61
Q3 - 11:01HeatRodney McGruder makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)60
58
Q3 - 11:06LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)58
58
Q3 - 11:17HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)58
58
Q3 - 11:28LakersLeBron James makes three point step back jump shot58
58
Q3 - 11:44LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound58
55
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 258
55
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 258
55
Q3 - 11:46LakersJaVale McGee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
55
Q3 - 12:00Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball, JaVale McGee)58
55
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Goran Dragic)58
55
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.58
55
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound58
55
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatLonzo Ball blocks Goran Dragic's three point jump shot58
55
Q2 - 0:19.0LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point finger roll layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)58
55
Q2 - 0:35.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)58
53
Q2 - 0:41.0LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)56
53
Q2 - 0:52.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)56
53
Q2 - 0:53.0LakersLonzo Ball defensive rebound56
53
Q2 - 0:56.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot56
53
Q2 - 1:10LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)56
53
Q2 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)56
51
Q2 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
51
Q2 - 1:19LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround hook shot56
51
Q2 - 1:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)56
51
Q2 - 1:48HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
51
Q2 - 1:51LakersLonzo Ball misses regular free throw 2 of 254
51
Q2 - 1:51LakersLonzo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 254
51
Q2 - 1:51HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Lonzo Ball draws the foul)54
50
Q2 - 2:01HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)54
50
Q2 - 2:15LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 151
50
Q2 - 2:15Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)51
49
Q2 - 2:15HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)51
49
Q2 - 2:15LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk51
49
Q2 - 2:21LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound51
47
Q2 - 2:23HeatGoran Dragic misses two point step back jump shot51
47
Q2 - 2:37LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point floating jump shot51
47
Q2 - 2:44Stoppage (Out of bounds)51
45
Q2 - 2:49HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot51
45
Q2 - 3:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
45
Q2 - 3:12HeatHeat defensive rebound49
45
Q2 - 3:12LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot49
45
Q2 - 3:18HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)49
45
Q2 - 3:24HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Lonzo Ball steals)49
45
Q2 - 3:39LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)49
45
Q2 - 4:01HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)49
43
Q2 - 4:11Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tyson Chandler, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)46
43
Q2 - 4:11Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic)46
43
Q2 - 4:11Heat 60 second timeout46
43
Q2 - 4:16LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)46
43
Q2 - 4:33LakersLeBron James defensive rebound46
40
Q2 - 4:37HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot46
40
Q2 - 4:49LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
40
Q2 - 5:04HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)46
40
Q2 - 5:25LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)44
40
Q2 - 5:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (traveling)44
37
Q2 - 5:53HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound44
37
Q2 - 5:56LakersLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot44
37
Q2 - 6:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)44
37
Q2 - 6:19HeatJustise Winslow makes three point step back jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)44
37
Q2 - 6:30HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound41
37
Q2 - 6:34HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot41
37
Q2 - 6:45LakersJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)41
37
Q2 - 6:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 141
34
Q2 - 6:54Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)40
34
Q2 - 6:54LakersJosh Hart shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)40
34
Q2 - 6:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)40
34
Q2 - 7:05LakersSvi Mykhailiuk turnover (out of bounds step)38
34
Q2 - 7:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 238
34
Q2 - 7:12Lakers lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, LeBron James, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)37
34
Q2 - 7:12Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic)37
34
Q2 - 7:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 237
34
Q2 - 7:12LakersLance Stephenson shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)36
34
Q2 - 7:13HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound36
34
Q2 - 7:17LakersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot36
34
Q2 - 7:23LakersLance Stephenson defensive rebound36
34
Q2 - 7:27HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot36
34
Q2 - 7:35LakersJaVale McGee turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)36
34
Q2 - 7:52HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving jump shot36
34
Q2 - 8:01LakersJosh Hart makes two point layup (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)34
34
Q2 - 8:06HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)34
32
Q2 - 8:17LakersSvi Mykhailiuk personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)34
32
Q2 - 8:29LakersSvi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Lance Stephenson assists)34
32
Q2 - 8:35LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound34
29
Q2 - 8:38HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot34
29
Q2 - 8:43HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound34
29
Q2 - 8:46LakersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks JaVale McGee's two point hook shot34
29
Q2 - 8:47LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound34
29
Q2 - 8:50LakersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Lance Stephenson's two point driving layup34
29
Q2 - 9:11HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)34
29
Q2 - 9:20HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound32
29
Q2 - 9:23LakersJaVale McGee misses two point floating jump shot32
29
Q2 - 9:38Lakers lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Josh Hart, Lance Stephenson, Lonzo Ball, JaVale McGee)32
29
Q2 - 9:38Lakers 60 second timeout32
29
Q2 - 9:39HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)32
29
Q2 - 10:02HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound29
29
Q2 - 10:05LakersLance Stephenson misses three point jump shot29
29
Q2 - 10:18HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback layup29
29
Q2 - 10:18HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound27
29
Q2 - 10:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point putback layup27
29
Q2 - 10:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound27
29
Q2 - 10:24HeatJustise Winslow misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
29
Q2 - 10:30HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound27
29
Q2 - 10:34LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot27
29
Q2 - 10:36LakersTyson Chandler offensive rebound27
29
Q2 - 10:38LakersSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot27
29
Q2 - 10:48HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)27
29
Q2 - 10:56HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound27
29
Q2 - 10:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot27
29
Q2 - 11:09HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot27
29
Q2 - 11:25LakersTyson Chandler makes two point putback layup25
29
Q2 - 11:25LakersTyson Chandler offensive rebound25
27
Q2 - 11:28LakersTyson Chandler misses two point reverse layup25
27
Q2 - 11:47HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup25
27
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
27
Q1 - 0:01.0LakersLakers offensive rebound23
27
Q1 - 0:01.0LakersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup23
27
Q1 - 0:19.0LakersLance Stephenson defensive rebound23
27
Q1 - 0:22.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot23
27
Q1 - 0:29.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound23
27
Q1 - 0:33.0LakersSvi Mykhailiuk misses two point jump shot23
27
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 223
27
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 222
27
Q1 - 0:45.0LakersLance Stephenson shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)21
27
Q1 - 0:48.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
27
Q1 - 0:48.0Lakers lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Josh Hart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tyson Chandler, Lance Stephenson)21
27
Q1 - 0:48.0Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)21
27
Q1 - 0:48.0HeatHeat offensive rebound21
27
Q1 - 0:48.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround jump shot21
27
Q1 - 1:03HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound21
27
Q1 - 1:05LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot21
27
Q1 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)21
27
Q1 - 1:45LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point hook shot19
27
Q1 - 2:06HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)19
25
Q1 - 2:19HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:22LakersLeBron James misses two point floating jump shot17
25
Q1 - 2:38LakersSvi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:42HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot17
25
Q1 - 2:44HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:47LakersBam Adebayo blocks LeBron James's two point layup17
25
Q1 - 2:53HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Tyson Chandler steals)17
25
Q1 - 3:19LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk17
25
Q1 - 3:32Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)17
23
Q1 - 3:32Lakers 60 second timeout17
23
Q1 - 3:34HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot17
23
Q1 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound15
23
Q1 - 3:41LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot15
23
Q1 - 3:47LakersTyson Chandler defensive rebound15
23
Q1 - 3:51HeatRodney McGruder misses two point driving jump shot15
23
Q1 - 4:03Lakers lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, LeBron James, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tyson Chandler, Kyle Kuzma)15
23
Q1 - 4:03LakersTyson Chandler personal foul (Take) (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)15
23
Q1 - 4:04LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)15
23
Q1 - 4:13LakersLonzo Ball defensive rebound15
23
Q1 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot15
23
Q1 - 4:31LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot15
23
Q1 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)15
21
Q1 - 4:56LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point turnaround hook shot (LeBron James assists)13
21
Q1 - 5:08Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr.)13
19
Q1 - 5:08HeatJames Johnson turnover (offensive foul)13
19
Q1 - 5:08HeatJames Johnson offensive foul (Tyson Chandler draws the foul)13
19
Q1 - 5:23LakersTyson Chandler makes two point dunk (LeBron James assists)13
19
Q1 - 5:29LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound13
17
Q1 - 5:31HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot13
17
Q1 - 5:43LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point floating jump shot (LeBron James assists)13
17
Q1 - 5:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)13
15
Q1 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
15
Q1 - 6:12LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 111
15
Q1 - 6:12Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Tyson Chandler, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball)11
15
Q1 - 6:12HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)11
15
Q1 - 6:12LakersLeBron James makes two point layup11
15
Q1 - 6:12LakersLeBron James defensive rebound11
13
Q1 - 6:15HeatJaVale McGee blocks Goran Dragic's two point layup11
13
Q1 - 6:27LakersJaVale McGee makes regular free throw 2 of 211
13
Q1 - 6:27LakersJaVale McGee misses regular free throw 1 of 211
12
Q1 - 6:27HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)11
12
Q1 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)11
12
Q1 - 6:49Heat 60 second timeout9
12
Q1 - 6:49LakersLonzo Ball makes two point layup (LeBron James assists)9
12
Q1 - 6:52LakersLeBron James defensive rebound9
10
Q1 - 6:54HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot9
10
Q1 - 7:06LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point floating jump shot9
10
Q1 - 7:19Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, James Johnson, Goran Dragic)9
8
Q1 - 7:19HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)9
8
Q1 - 7:19LakersLonzo Ball defensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 7:21HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot9
8
Q1 - 7:27LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)9
8
Q1 - 7:29LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 7:30HeatJaVale McGee blocks James Johnson's two point putback layup9
8
Q1 - 7:30HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 7:35HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup9
8
Q1 - 7:38HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 7:41LakersLeBron James misses two point driving jump shot9
8
Q1 - 7:49LakersJosh Hart defensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 7:51HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot9
8
Q1 - 7:57HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 8:01LakersJaVale McGee misses two point reverse dunk9
8
Q1 - 8:09HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
8
Q1 - 8:20Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
8
Q1 - 8:20HeatHeat defensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 8:21LakersJaVale McGee misses two point putback layup9
8
Q1 - 8:22LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 8:24LakersJaVale McGee misses two point putback layup9
8
Q1 - 8:24LakersJaVale McGee offensive rebound9
8
Q1 - 8:28LakersBam Adebayo blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point driving layup9
8
Q1 - 8:38HeatJames Johnson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)9
8
Q1 - 8:53LakersJaVale McGee makes two point alley-oop layup (LeBron James assists)9
8
Q1 - 9:10HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (James Johnson assists)9
6
Q1 - 9:29LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point driving hook shot7
6
Q1 - 9:39HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)7
4
Q1 - 9:53LakersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 25
4
Q1 - 9:53LakersJosh Hart misses regular free throw 1 of 25
3
Q1 - 9:53HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)5
3
Q1 - 9:54LakersLeBron James defensive rebound5
3
Q1 - 9:59HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot5
3
Q1 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound5
3
Q1 - 10:03LakersLonzo Ball misses two point putback layup5
3
Q1 - 10:03LakersLonzo Ball offensive rebound5
3
Q1 - 10:07LakersLonzo Ball misses two point layup5
3
Q1 - 10:10LakersJaVale McGee defensive rebound5
3
Q1 - 10:14HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot5
3
Q1 - 10:24LakersJaVale McGee turnover (out of bounds lost ball)5
3
Q1 - 10:34HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
3
Q1 - 10:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)3
3
Q1 - 10:44LakersJosh Hart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
3
Q1 - 10:45HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound3
3
Q1 - 10:48HeatJosh Hart blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot3
3
Q1 - 11:07LakersJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)3
3
Q1 - 11:18HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)3
0
Q1 - 11:32Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - 11:32HeatHeat defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:32LakersJames Johnson blocks Lonzo Ball's two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - 11:40Bam Adebayo kicked ball violation0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. JaVale McGee (Lonzo Ball gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball, JaVale McGee)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Goran Dragic)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
LAL
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
38
63%
LAL
23
40
57%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
LAL
4
18
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
LAL
14
21.0
32
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIA
10
13
77%
LAL
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2870%14.0 / 20
D. Wade1536%7.5 / 21
K. Olynyk1568%7.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1250%6.0 / 12
J. Richardson1045%5.0 / 11
R. McGruder1063%5.0 / 8
D. Jones880%4.0 / 5
G. Dragic739%3.5 / 9
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma3372%16.5 / 23
L. James2864%14.0 / 22
K. Caldwell-Pope1150%5.5 / 11
L. Ball1042%5.0 / 12
J. Hart945%4.5 / 10
L. Stephenson660%3.0 / 5
J. McGee422%2.0 / 9
T. Chandler467%2.0 / 3
S. Mykhailiuk338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+18
-17
101
LAL
89
+13
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
LAL
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
107.9
MIA 105.0
LAL 106.9 +1.9
Pace
98.1
103.0
MIA 98.0
LAL 104.0 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.7
MIA 14.7
LAL 13.8 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.7%
MIA 50.5%
LAL 53.3% +2.8%
TO %
14.3%
14.7%
MIA 14.6%
LAL 10.8% −3.8%
ORB %
24.8%
22.2%
MIA 29.2% +4.2%
LAL 25.0%
FTrt
24.7
25.7
MIA 13.8
LAL 22.2 +8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
60.0%
MIA 69.0% +10.5%
LAL 58.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.3%
MIA 9.0% +0.1%
LAL 8.9%
BLK %
10.2%
9.2%
MIA 12.1% +0.4%
LAL 11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.5%
MIA 52.0%
LAL 52.9% +0.9%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.0%
MIA 63.2% +5.7%
LAL 57.5%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.8%
MIA 31.8% +9.6%
LAL 22.2%
3P %
34.9%
33.3%
MIA 32.4%
LAL 43.8% +11.4%
FT %
69.5%
69.9%
MIA 76.9% +16.9%
LAL 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
43.6%
MIA 40.4%
LAL 44.4% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
22.2%
MIA 23.4%
LAL 20.0% −3.4%
3P Att. %
36.8%
34.2%
MIA 36.2% +0.6%
LAL 35.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes24.523.3
Points105108
Rebounds5046
Assists2924
Steals99
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1910
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (4)34 (1)
Field Goals42-9441-90
At-the-Rim FG24-3823-40
Midrange FG7-224-18
2-Point FG31-6027-58
3-Point FG11-3414-32
Free Throws10-1312-20
Fast Break Pts914
2nd Chance Pts156
Points in Paint5450
Pts off Turnovers1112
Bench Points6624
Biggest Lead78

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
30.4
10
45%
3
5
1
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
28.7
12
50%
10
5
2
2
4
2
4
6
0-2
0%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
24.0
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
17.6
7
39%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
16.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
37.6
28
70%
7
2
1
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
5-10
50%
6-10
60%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
32.0
15
36%
5
10
1
1
2
3
0
5
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
0-7
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
29.1
8
80%
14
0
3
3
1
1
5
9
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
23.9
15
68%
4
3
1
0
3
2
0
4
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
0-3
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle surgery
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
52%
50
29
9
7
17
19
14
36
10-13
77%
31-60
52%
11-34
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.