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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pacers47%109113
1276ers53%110101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
39.4
33.1
26
57%
10
5
0
2
1
0
6
4
8-9
89%
9-17
5-10
53%
53%
0-2
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.7
34.3
32.0
18
67%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
31.0
24.1
14
39%
1
9
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-14
4-8
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.3
25.7
30.8
8
82%
2
10
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.7
16.8
31.3
8
67%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
5-10
25%
53%
2-2
100%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 22.6
30.8
22.6
14
50%
16
2
0
1
0
0
5
11
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.3
25.3
23.4
14
78%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.2
19.0
21.3
9
33%
4
0
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
2-10
3-6
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.9
16.1
16.2
2
26%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-3
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 28.7
1.6
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 22.2
9.3
0
1-2
47%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.6
3.6
0
0-1
50%
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 22.6
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.0
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.5
Ike Anigbogu
C · 6'10" 262 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 22.4
37.8
33.2
18
49%
9
4
2
2
1
3
2
7
4-8
50%
7-15
6-11
47%
56%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 34.5
34.5
33.0
22
55%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
4-12
33%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
34.1
34.6
40
69%
21
3
1
1
1
6
8
13
13-16
81%
12-16
7-14
75%
52%
1-6
17%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.6
30.2
29.2
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 21.4
29.4
24.6
6
30%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
2-7
29%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
29.4
26.3
6
43%
3
5
2
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-0
-
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.8
24.4
19.5
7
102%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
2-2
100%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27.5
16.7
15.7
2
13%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-6
0%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.2
3.4
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 31.6
7.7
0
1-2
57%
Jonah Bolden
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
2.6
0
0-0
51%
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 21.5
1.0
0
0-0
52%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 24.3
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 29.2
Zhaire Smith
G · 6'4" 199 · 19.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.